No worries, I don't live in FLA so I'll just raise my SEP field and not
worry about something far away that I probably won't visit for 2-3
years. But suppressing the ME's from talking isn't supposed to be
what this country is about. It strikes me funny whenever I hear about
one part of government shutting up another part of government..
Whatever the reason.
On 05/13/2020 11:33 AM, Mark - Myakka Technologies wrote:
Robert,
That is BS. Don't even get me started on national media. This website
has been running since the beginning of the year
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/96dd742462124fa0b38ddedb9b25e429
Two things to keep in mind with Florida. If you look at worldometers
site some days you'll see FL jump by 100+ cases. That doesn't mean FL
had those deaths on that day. It was just reported on that day. The
arcis site is more accurate with the daily count, being they will go
back and adjust the data based on actual death day and not reported day.
Big difference with the graph.
As for the media games and stories with FL not reporting, there is an
issue with counting deaths. The total numbers from all the ME offices
were about 10% higher than what the state was officially reporting. Not
sure why, they are thinking maybe double counts. Died in different
county than register as resident. Counted in both counties. The state
decided that they would be the ones to report the official numbers and
asked the ME to not make their numbers public. They are still
collecting the data, but just not reporting it.
I really don't understand why this has become such a big deal with the
media. 10% or even 20% doesn't really change much in the overall
numbers. The national media is always getting things wrong about FL.
Hurricanes wiping out the whole state, pythons falling out of trees,
gators attacking people everyday, etc.
Once again, I feel things have been handled well down here. I won't go
as far as saying the government is responsible for how well we are
doing. I'm going mostly with environment and luck. Things are starting
to open up, so we'll see what happens in the next few months. The true
test will be once the Orlando area opens up.
--
Best regards,
Mark mailto:m...@mailmt.com
Myakka Technologies, Inc.
www.Myakka.com <http://www.Myakka.com>
------
Wednesday, May 13, 2020, 1:26:05 PM, you wrote:
FL was not releasing Covid numbers till last week, was in the national
news...
On 5/13/20 10:14 AM, Harold Bledsoe wrote:
Here are deaths in FL for weeks 1-17 for 2020 vs 2018:
If you sum it up, there are 272 more total deaths during this time
period in FL in 2020 than in 2018.
On Wed, May 13, 2020 at 10:50 AM Mark - Myakka Technologies
<m...@mailmt.com <mailto:m...@mailmt.com>> wrote:
I have to put this in perspective for at least the state of Florida.
Starting in February, if you believed the reports, we were suppose to
be the next NY. We had spring break, we have an older population, we
have Orlando, and we have a republican governor. Our hospitals were
suppose to be over run and turning people away. A republican governor
by default is incompetent, so things were going to get out of hand quickly.
Where are we today? 1827 deaths. That is only about 2% of the total
deaths in the US. To dig even deeper, in 2017 (last year I can easily
get) FL had 203,353 deaths for the year. That comes out to about 50,838
deaths per quarter. Assuming the 1827 is off by 20% due to under
reporting (bit of a pissing match going on with state and ME's) that
gives us about 2200 COVID-19 deaths. Assuming there is no overlap
between COVID-19 and normal deaths we get an increase of about 4% of
deaths over 2017 deaths.
That 4% is most likely closer to 1% over 2019 being there is a natural
increase of about 1% - 2% per year on number of deaths in FL. Not to
mention the overlap of people who died of COVID-19 that would have died
of something else anyway.
We have almost 600,000 tests with only about a 7% positive rate. I find
that number very surprising being we are reportedly only testing the
worst of the worst.
The question is, why are we doing so well? Is it the government, the
people, the environment, pure dumb luck, or a combination?
I for one am very happy with the FL results so far and see no reason not
to start opening the state.
--
Best regards,
Mark mailto:m...@mailmt.com
Myakka Technologies, Inc.
www.Myakka.com <http://www.Myakka.com>
------
Wednesday, May 13, 2020, 11:03:56 AM, you wrote:
Its all over. My mom sent me an Alex Jones video. I almost think
matricide in some cases is the more humane solution The big question is
whether or not that would be a covid related death and add to the graph
On Wed, May 13, 2020 at 9:29 AM <ch...@wbmfg.com
<mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com>> wrote:
Well the local minima seems to be taking nice orderly steps down each
week except for a couple weeks back where it stayed about the same.
But the trends do not seem to be going up. So I will take that as a
phase 1 win. Hopefully we are on the road to eradication. If the local
minima steps continue on the same trend, it looks like they will hit the
bottom in a month.... one month to go... I think I have said that
several times over the past few months...
*From:* Bill Prince
*Sent:* Wednesday, May 13, 2020 8:14 AM
*To: *af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com>
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Do I dare jinx it?
I would love if they still did the 7-day moving average. If you look at
the logarithmic curve of total deaths, the curve is actually flattening.
However, the linear curve is still rising.
Since there is about a 2 to 2-1/2 hysteresis to the action/effect, we
will know more sometime between May 24 and May 30. Much of the country
is "opening up" around May 10, so if that negatively impacts the death
rate, we won't really know about it for 14-18 days.
bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
On 5/13/2020 7:06 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com <mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com>wrote:
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