I would love if they still did the 7-day moving average. If you look at the logarithmic curve of total deaths, the curve is actually flattening. However, the linear curve is still rising.
Since there is about a 2 to 2-1/2 hysteresis to the action/effect, we will know more sometime between May 24 and May 30. Much of the country is "opening up" around May 10, so if that negatively impacts the death rate, we won't really know about it for 14-18 days.
bp
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On 5/13/2020 7:06 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com
wrote:
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