A GWAS scan that revealed a correlation for reading ability could be in a 
context that had a clear analog in monkeys or was already a known signature for 
more fundamental biology.   Then an experiment is possible that may elaborate 
connection in a knowledge graph.   Monkey becomes an astute observer, but 
higher probability of homicidal behavior, etc.

> On Sep 10, 2021, at 7:31 AM, uǝlƃ ☤>$ <geprope...@gmail.com> wrote:
> 
> Well, both the animal studies *and* those suffering from debilitating 
> conditions *fail* to cover the case for "reading ability". I'm sure some of 
> us would edit our genes in order to, say, make fat stacks of cash by 
> increasing our "entrepreneurial" tendency to take risks. But such studies 
> seem unlikely to get funded even from places like the Cato Institute.
> 
>> On 9/10/21 7:21 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>> Much of the genome will be conserved across species, so animal models are 
>> one way to establish causation.  Another way is with motivated audiences, 
>> people that will suffer without an intervention.  They may still suffer 
>> (there is no causation) but at least with, say, gene therapy they have some 
>> agency.
>> 
>>>> On Sep 10, 2021, at 7:07 AM, uǝlƃ ☤>$ <geprope...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>> 
>>> No, I'm not trying to suggest that gen-phen relations are special, only 
>>> that the call to *write* segments previously shown through GWAS to be 
>>> predictive might demonstrate a lack of causality ... a necessary experiment 
>>> for the hypothesis that's ethically problematic. But more abstractly, as 
>>> we've discussed recently, optimization to exogenously defined, precise 
>>> objective functions can cause more problems than it solves.
>>> 
>>>> On 9/10/21 6:30 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>>>> Guidance could have been to first vaccinate younger adults rather than 
>>>> older adults?   That statistical regularity is predictive of infection and 
>>>> of death.   Other statistical regularities are just correlations and the 
>>>> causality is not clear.   Are you saying there is something special about 
>>>> genotype/phenotype relations?  
>>>> 
>>>>>> On Sep 10, 2021, at 3:26 AM, ⛧ glen <geprope...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>> 
>>>>> I can't help but wonder if there's an analog of Goodhart's law lurking, 
>>>>> here.
>>>>> 
>>>>> 
>>>>>> On September 9, 2021 2:31:39 PM PDT, Marcus Daniels 
>>>>>> <mar...@snoutfarm.com> wrote:
>>>>>> Or they are reprogramming their people to be smarter!
>>>>>> (Actually, deCODE is owned by Amgen now.)
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> Selection is already occurring, so it isn't as if this is some sci-fi 
>>>>>> thing.
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/12/the-last-children-of-down-syndrome/616928/
>>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>>> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of David Eric Smith
>>>>>> Sent: Thursday, September 9, 2021 2:12 PM
>>>>>> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
>>>>>> <friam@redfish.com>
>>>>>> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] gen'fur
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> Aha!  This is why Iceland has the highest per-capita fraction of 
>>>>>> published authors in the world.  I had assumed it was the weather….
>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> On Sep 10, 2021, at 2:17 AM, Marcus Daniels <mar...@snoutfarm.com> 
>>>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> That can be screened as well with a large population-wide survey such 
>>>>>>> has been done in the UK or Iceland.
>>>>>>> Of course, it is unlikely that complex behaviors will be governed by 
>>>>>>> isolated mutations, so the task is to look for highly predictive motifs 
>>>>>>> (e.g. regular expressions).  
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>>>> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ?>$
>>>>>>> Sent: Thursday, September 9, 2021 10:12 AM
>>>>>>> To: friam@redfish.com
>>>>>>> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] gen'fur
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> Ha! Now you're trolling. The answer is: "because the sites that 
>>>>>>> generate reading ability (or whatever) *also* generate other 
>>>>>>> 'abilities'", with "abilities" in scare quotes because many abilities 
>>>>>>> are considered bad ... like the ability of a pimply faced white dude to 
>>>>>>> shoot up a church or blow up a federal building.
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> In addition to polyphenism, there's robustness. If more than 1 site 
>>>>>>> generates the same functional ability (reading), then do we write them 
>>>>>>> all? ... just one of them? ... a probabilistically predictive handful 
>>>>>>> of them?
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> On 9/9/21 10:00 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>>>>>>>> So find the sites that correspond to reading ability, or whatever, and 
>>>>>>>> WRITE them.  
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>>>>> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ?>$
>>>>>>>> Sent: Thursday, September 9, 2021 9:51 AM
>>>>>>>> To: friam@redfish.com
>>>>>>>> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] gen'fur
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> I was alerted to this article this morning:
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> Can Progressives Be Convinced That Genetics Matters?
>>>>>>>> https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2021/09/13/can-progressives-be-con
>>>>>>>> v
>>>>>>>> inced-that-genetics-matters
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> It should delight those amongst us who rant about the "woke". 8^D But 
>>>>>>>> it dovetails nicely with the fraught concept of equality in the other 
>>>>>>>> thread.
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> Coincidentally, also on 9/6, the BIAPT announced their early career 
>>>>>>>> prize winner Emily McTernan:
>>>>>>>> https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.associationfo
>>>>>>>> rpoliticalthought.ac.uk%2fbiapt-2021-early-care&c=E,1,Je9MVNdO8lpJQOd
>>>>>>>> 6fZwUNe-4z5yuFq0upxNIzMBFjmLFh_h5a63ueVVpd8lkEdWeUx5Xx1RaoPg3T5Ph8YlG
>>>>>>>> 0558qqHLZD8-DKeBPEC3YYM,&typo=1
>>>>>>>> er-prize-winner-dr-emily-mcternan/
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> "In her forthcoming monograph, Dr McTernan develops her work on social 
>>>>>>>> equality further, to advance a pioneering conceptual account – and 
>>>>>>>> robust normative defence – of the phenomenon of ‘taking offence’. 
>>>>>>>> Therein, McTernan contends, we should understand taking offence, under 
>>>>>>>> appropriate conditions, as a civic virtue rather than a vice, as an 
>>>>>>>> emotion that embodies the resistance of social inequalities within a 
>>>>>>>> community."
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>> On 9/8/21 8:06 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>>>>>>>>> From about a cancer rate of 10% (without mutation) to 50% (with) but 
>>>>>>>>> it depends on the BRCA variant.
>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>> https://www.cdc.gov/genomics/disease/breast_ovarian_cancer/breast_ca
>>>>>>>>> n
>>>>>>>>> c
>>>>>>>>> er.htm
>>>>>>>>> <https://www.cdc.gov/genomics/disease/breast_ovarian_cancer/breast_c
>>>>>>>>> a
>>>>>>>>> n
>>>>>>>>> cer.htm>
>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> On Sep 8, 2021, at 4:07 PM, Frank Wimberly <wimber...@gmail.com> 
>>>>>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> Is the Braca gene that little correlated with breast cancer?
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> ---
>>>>>>>>>> Frank C. Wimberly
>>>>>>>>>> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
>>>>>>>>>> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> 505 670-9918
>>>>>>>>>> Santa Fe, NM
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> On Wed, Sep 8, 2021, 4:57 PM Marcus Daniels <mar...@snoutfarm.com 
>>>>>>>>>> <mailto:mar...@snoutfarm.com>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> Yeah, it is hard to get excited about “unusual” variance. Modern 
>>>>>>>>>> classification algorithms like gradient boosting make it possible 
>>>>>>>>>> to predict phenotypes, and to me that is a lot more interesting 
>>>>>>>>>> (and still possible to deconstruct).____
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> __ __
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> *From:* Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com 
>>>>>>>>>> <mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com>> *On Behalf Of *Eric Charles
>>>>>>>>>> *Sent:* Wednesday, September 8, 2021 3:53 PM
>>>>>>>>>> *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
>>>>>>>>>> <friam@redfish.com <mailto:friam@redfish.com>>
>>>>>>>>>> *Subject:* [FRIAM] gen'fur____
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> __ __
>>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>>> Gen'fur this, gen'fur that... and also the realities of biological 
>>>>>>>>>> complexity.... 
> 
> 
> -- 
> ☤>$ uǝlƃ
> 
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