Well, both the animal studies *and* those suffering from debilitating 
conditions *fail* to cover the case for "reading ability". I'm sure some of us 
would edit our genes in order to, say, make fat stacks of cash by increasing 
our "entrepreneurial" tendency to take risks. But such studies seem unlikely to 
get funded even from places like the Cato Institute.

On 9/10/21 7:21 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> Much of the genome will be conserved across species, so animal models are one 
> way to establish causation.  Another way is with motivated audiences, people 
> that will suffer without an intervention.  They may still suffer (there is no 
> causation) but at least with, say, gene therapy they have some agency.
> 
>> On Sep 10, 2021, at 7:07 AM, uǝlƃ ☤>$ <geprope...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>> No, I'm not trying to suggest that gen-phen relations are special, only 
>> that the call to *write* segments previously shown through GWAS to be 
>> predictive might demonstrate a lack of causality ... a necessary experiment 
>> for the hypothesis that's ethically problematic. But more abstractly, as 
>> we've discussed recently, optimization to exogenously defined, precise 
>> objective functions can cause more problems than it solves.
>>
>>> On 9/10/21 6:30 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>>> Guidance could have been to first vaccinate younger adults rather than 
>>> older adults?   That statistical regularity is predictive of infection and 
>>> of death.   Other statistical regularities are just correlations and the 
>>> causality is not clear.   Are you saying there is something special about 
>>> genotype/phenotype relations?  
>>>
>>>>> On Sep 10, 2021, at 3:26 AM, ⛧ glen <geprope...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>> I can't help but wonder if there's an analog of Goodhart's law lurking, 
>>>> here.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>> On September 9, 2021 2:31:39 PM PDT, Marcus Daniels 
>>>>> <mar...@snoutfarm.com> wrote:
>>>>> Or they are reprogramming their people to be smarter!
>>>>> (Actually, deCODE is owned by Amgen now.)
>>>>>
>>>>> Selection is already occurring, so it isn't as if this is some sci-fi 
>>>>> thing.
>>>>>
>>>>> https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/12/the-last-children-of-down-syndrome/616928/
>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of David Eric Smith
>>>>> Sent: Thursday, September 9, 2021 2:12 PM
>>>>> To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
>>>>> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] gen'fur
>>>>>
>>>>> Aha!  This is why Iceland has the highest per-capita fraction of 
>>>>> published authors in the world.  I had assumed it was the weather….
>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Sep 10, 2021, at 2:17 AM, Marcus Daniels <mar...@snoutfarm.com> 
>>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> That can be screened as well with a large population-wide survey such 
>>>>>> has been done in the UK or Iceland.
>>>>>> Of course, it is unlikely that complex behaviors will be governed by 
>>>>>> isolated mutations, so the task is to look for highly predictive motifs 
>>>>>> (e.g. regular expressions).  
>>>>>>
>>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>>> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ?>$
>>>>>> Sent: Thursday, September 9, 2021 10:12 AM
>>>>>> To: friam@redfish.com
>>>>>> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] gen'fur
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Ha! Now you're trolling. The answer is: "because the sites that generate 
>>>>>> reading ability (or whatever) *also* generate other 'abilities'", with 
>>>>>> "abilities" in scare quotes because many abilities are considered bad 
>>>>>> ... like the ability of a pimply faced white dude to shoot up a church 
>>>>>> or blow up a federal building.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> In addition to polyphenism, there's robustness. If more than 1 site 
>>>>>> generates the same functional ability (reading), then do we write them 
>>>>>> all? ... just one of them? ... a probabilistically predictive handful of 
>>>>>> them?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On 9/9/21 10:00 AM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>>>>>>> So find the sites that correspond to reading ability, or whatever, and 
>>>>>>> WRITE them.  
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>>>>> From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of u?l? ?>$
>>>>>>> Sent: Thursday, September 9, 2021 9:51 AM
>>>>>>> To: friam@redfish.com
>>>>>>> Subject: Re: [FRIAM] gen'fur
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> I was alerted to this article this morning:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Can Progressives Be Convinced That Genetics Matters?
>>>>>>> https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2021/09/13/can-progressives-be-con
>>>>>>> v
>>>>>>> inced-that-genetics-matters
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> It should delight those amongst us who rant about the "woke". 8^D But 
>>>>>>> it dovetails nicely with the fraught concept of equality in the other 
>>>>>>> thread.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Coincidentally, also on 9/6, the BIAPT announced their early career 
>>>>>>> prize winner Emily McTernan:
>>>>>>> https://linkprotect.cudasvc.com/url?a=https%3a%2f%2fwww.associationfo
>>>>>>> rpoliticalthought.ac.uk%2fbiapt-2021-early-care&c=E,1,Je9MVNdO8lpJQOd
>>>>>>> 6fZwUNe-4z5yuFq0upxNIzMBFjmLFh_h5a63ueVVpd8lkEdWeUx5Xx1RaoPg3T5Ph8YlG
>>>>>>> 0558qqHLZD8-DKeBPEC3YYM,&typo=1
>>>>>>> er-prize-winner-dr-emily-mcternan/
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> "In her forthcoming monograph, Dr McTernan develops her work on social 
>>>>>>> equality further, to advance a pioneering conceptual account – and 
>>>>>>> robust normative defence – of the phenomenon of ‘taking offence’. 
>>>>>>> Therein, McTernan contends, we should understand taking offence, under 
>>>>>>> appropriate conditions, as a civic virtue rather than a vice, as an 
>>>>>>> emotion that embodies the resistance of social inequalities within a 
>>>>>>> community."
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On 9/8/21 8:06 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
>>>>>>>> From about a cancer rate of 10% (without mutation) to 50% (with) but 
>>>>>>>> it depends on the BRCA variant.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> https://www.cdc.gov/genomics/disease/breast_ovarian_cancer/breast_ca
>>>>>>>> n
>>>>>>>> c
>>>>>>>> er.htm
>>>>>>>> <https://www.cdc.gov/genomics/disease/breast_ovarian_cancer/breast_c
>>>>>>>> a
>>>>>>>> n
>>>>>>>> cer.htm>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> On Sep 8, 2021, at 4:07 PM, Frank Wimberly <wimber...@gmail.com> 
>>>>>>>>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>>> Is the Braca gene that little correlated with breast cancer?
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> ---
>>>>>>>>> Frank C. Wimberly
>>>>>>>>> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
>>>>>>>>> Santa Fe, NM 87505
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> 505 670-9918
>>>>>>>>> Santa Fe, NM
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> On Wed, Sep 8, 2021, 4:57 PM Marcus Daniels <mar...@snoutfarm.com 
>>>>>>>>> <mailto:mar...@snoutfarm.com>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>  Yeah, it is hard to get excited about “unusual” variance. Modern 
>>>>>>>>> classification algorithms like gradient boosting make it possible 
>>>>>>>>> to predict phenotypes, and to me that is a lot more interesting 
>>>>>>>>> (and still possible to deconstruct).____
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>  __ __
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>  *From:* Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com 
>>>>>>>>> <mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com>> *On Behalf Of *Eric Charles
>>>>>>>>>  *Sent:* Wednesday, September 8, 2021 3:53 PM
>>>>>>>>>  *To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group 
>>>>>>>>> <friam@redfish.com <mailto:friam@redfish.com>>
>>>>>>>>>  *Subject:* [FRIAM] gen'fur____
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>  __ __
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>  Gen'fur this, gen'fur that... and also the realities of biological 
>>>>>>>>> complexity.... 


-- 
☤>$ uǝlƃ

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