1900 inmates and 150 staff at the prison in Marion, Ohio have tested positive. That’s 3/4 of the inmates. That herd is gonna have immunity, but it may be a smaller herd.
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/04/20/838943211/73-of-inmates-at-an-ohio-prison-test-positive-for-coronavirus From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Steve Jones Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 8:07 PM To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism they went through three seasons of it, the lady with fauci even talked about it a couple weeks ago. takes three seasons for the herd to have sufficient natural immunity. On Mon, Apr 20, 2020 at 7:21 PM Chuck McCown <ch...@wbmfg.com <mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com> > wrote: The main curves were similar to what we are seeing. Sent from my iPhone On Apr 20, 2020, at 6:02 PM, Robert <i...@avantwireless.com <mailto:i...@avantwireless.com> > wrote: And it went from winter of 1917 through summer in 1918 with summer 1917 almost dying away due to better results in warm weather than Covid-19. The burst back in 1918 was apparently pretty nasty.. On 4/20/20 4:51 PM, ch...@wbmfg.com <mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote: Just look at the Spanish flu curves. They had no vaccine. They conquered it by quarantine and social distancing. From: Robert Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 5:37 PM To: af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism Then you don't understand social distancing and herd immunity. This is just moving the infection rate out into the future spread over a much longer range. We still get infected to 70-80% before herd immunity kicks in about 2-3 months _before_ the current schedule of vaccine availability. 1/2 over will be 3-4 months from now. Now if someone comes out with a vaccine, different ball game. Oh and the ebola anti-viral... Gilead is testing with the best case possible patients. And results so far don't show anything better with those cases than leaving the patients alone. Sounds like Gilead is doing everything they can to make it sound like their stuff is a winner without actually proving it... On 4/20/20 8:44 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com <mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote: I look at the curve and say we are half over. From: Ken Hohhof Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 9:33 AM To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism That probably is (modestly) good news. But how anyone can look at that curve and say it’s over, I don’t know. That curve is probably dominated by the early hit densely populated areas like New York, where they are still only slightly off the peak death rate and are still piling bodies in refrigerated trucks at hospitals. And the nursing homes and prisons. It hasn’t even begun to sweep over the less dense areas with no hospitals, that will be the long tail of the curve. Then we find out if we screwed up and brought a big second wave. Very worrisome is the healthcare workers getting infected and dying, dealing with patients dying on every shift, worrying about infecting their families. If this is still coming in waves 1-2 years from now, we aren’t going to have any doctors and nurses. Who would do that job long term, even if they don’t get sick and die? As various people have pointed out, this may be a war, but even soldiers aren’t asked to put their family’s lives at risk. From: AF mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com On Behalf Of ch...@wbmfg.com <mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com> Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 10:21 AM To: af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com> Subject: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism Looks a bit Gaussian to me. I hope... <image001.png> _____ -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com _____ -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
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