they went through three seasons of it, the lady with fauci even talked about it a couple weeks ago. takes three seasons for the herd to have sufficient natural immunity.
On Mon, Apr 20, 2020 at 7:21 PM Chuck McCown <ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote: > The main curves were similar to what we are seeing. > > Sent from my iPhone > > On Apr 20, 2020, at 6:02 PM, Robert <i...@avantwireless.com> wrote: > > And it went from winter of 1917 through summer in 1918 with summer 1917 > almost dying away due to better results in warm weather than Covid-19. The > burst back in 1918 was apparently pretty nasty.. > > On 4/20/20 4:51 PM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote: > > Just look at the Spanish flu curves. They had no vaccine. They conquered > it by quarantine and social distancing. > > *From:* Robert > *Sent:* Monday, April 20, 2020 5:37 PM > *To:* af@af.afmug.com > *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism > > Then you don't understand social distancing and herd immunity. This is > just moving the infection rate out into the future spread over a much > longer range. We still get infected to 70-80% before herd immunity kicks > in about 2-3 months _before_ the current schedule of vaccine > availability. 1/2 over will be 3-4 months from now. Now if someone comes > out with a vaccine, different ball game. Oh and the ebola anti-viral... > Gilead is testing with the best case possible patients. And results so > far don't show anything better with those cases than leaving the patients > alone. Sounds like Gilead is doing everything they can to make it sound > like their stuff is a winner without actually proving it... > > On 4/20/20 8:44 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote: > > I look at the curve and say we are half over. > > *From:* Ken Hohhof > *Sent:* Monday, April 20, 2020 9:33 AM > *To:* 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' > *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism > > > That probably is (modestly) good news. But how anyone can look at that > curve and say it’s over, I don’t know. That curve is probably dominated by > the early hit densely populated areas like New York, where they are still > only slightly off the peak death rate and are still piling bodies in > refrigerated trucks at hospitals. And the nursing homes and prisons. It > hasn’t even begun to sweep over the less dense areas with no hospitals, > that will be the long tail of the curve. Then we find out if we screwed up > and brought a big second wave. > > > > Very worrisome is the healthcare workers getting infected and dying, > dealing with patients dying on every shift, worrying about infecting their > families. If this is still coming in waves 1-2 years from now, we aren’t > going to have any doctors and nurses. Who would do that job long term, > even if they don’t get sick and die? As various people have pointed out, > this may be a war, but even soldiers aren’t asked to put their family’s > lives at risk. > > > > > > *From:* AF mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com *On Behalf Of *ch...@wbmfg.com > *Sent:* Monday, April 20, 2020 10:21 AM > *To:* af@af.afmug.com > *Subject:* [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism > > > > Looks a bit Gaussian to me. I hope... > > > > <image001.png> > > ------------------------------ > -- > AF mailing list > AF@af.afmug.com > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com > > > ------------------------------ > -- > AF mailing list > AF@af.afmug.com > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com > > > -- > AF mailing list > AF@af.afmug.com > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com > > -- > AF mailing list > AF@af.afmug.com > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >
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