The main curves were similar to what we are seeing. Sent from my iPhone
> On Apr 20, 2020, at 6:02 PM, Robert <i...@avantwireless.com> wrote: > > And it went from winter of 1917 through summer in 1918 with summer 1917 > almost dying away due to better results in warm weather than Covid-19. The > burst back in 1918 was apparently pretty nasty.. > > On 4/20/20 4:51 PM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote: >> Just look at the Spanish flu curves. They had no vaccine. They conquered >> it by quarantine and social distancing. >> >> From: Robert >> Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 5:37 PM >> To: af@af.afmug.com >> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism >> >> Then you don't understand social distancing and herd immunity. This is >> just moving the infection rate out into the future spread over a much longer >> range. We still get infected to 70-80% before herd immunity kicks in about >> 2-3 months _before_ the current schedule of vaccine availability. 1/2 over >> will be 3-4 months from now. Now if someone comes out with a vaccine, >> different ball game. Oh and the ebola anti-viral... Gilead is testing >> with the best case possible patients. And results so far don't show >> anything better with those cases than leaving the patients alone. Sounds >> like Gilead is doing everything they can to make it sound like their stuff >> is a winner without actually proving it... >> >> On 4/20/20 8:44 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote: >>> I look at the curve and say we are half over. >>> >>> From: Ken Hohhof >>> Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 9:33 AM >>> To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' >>> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism >>> >>> That probably is (modestly) good news. But how anyone can look at that >>> curve and say it’s over, I don’t know. That curve is probably dominated by >>> the early hit densely populated areas like New York, where they are still >>> only slightly off the peak death rate and are still piling bodies in >>> refrigerated trucks at hospitals. And the nursing homes and prisons. It >>> hasn’t even begun to sweep over the less dense areas with no hospitals, >>> that will be the long tail of the curve. Then we find out if we screwed up >>> and brought a big second wave. >>> >>> Very worrisome is the healthcare workers getting infected and dying, >>> dealing with patients dying on every shift, worrying about infecting their >>> families. If this is still coming in waves 1-2 years from now, we aren’t >>> going to have any doctors and nurses. Who would do that job long term, >>> even if they don’t get sick and die? As various people have pointed out, >>> this may be a war, but even soldiers aren’t asked to put their family’s >>> lives at risk. >>> >>> >>> From: AF mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com On Behalf Of ch...@wbmfg.com >>> Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 10:21 AM >>> To: af@af.afmug.com >>> Subject: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism >>> >>> Looks a bit Gaussian to me. I hope... >>> >>> <image001.png> >>> -- >>> AF mailing list >>> AF@af.afmug.com >>> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >>> >>> >> >> -- >> AF mailing list >> AF@af.afmug.com >> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >> >> > > -- > AF mailing list > AF@af.afmug.com > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
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