Just look at the Spanish flu curves. They had no vaccine. They conquered it by quarantine and social distancing.
From: Robert Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 5:37 PM To: af@af.afmug.com Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism Then you don't understand social distancing and herd immunity. This is just moving the infection rate out into the future spread over a much longer range. We still get infected to 70-80% before herd immunity kicks in about 2-3 months _before_ the current schedule of vaccine availability. 1/2 over will be 3-4 months from now. Now if someone comes out with a vaccine, different ball game. Oh and the ebola anti-viral... Gilead is testing with the best case possible patients. And results so far don't show anything better with those cases than leaving the patients alone. Sounds like Gilead is doing everything they can to make it sound like their stuff is a winner without actually proving it... On 4/20/20 8:44 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote: I look at the curve and say we are half over. From: Ken Hohhof Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 9:33 AM To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism That probably is (modestly) good news. But how anyone can look at that curve and say it’s over, I don’t know. That curve is probably dominated by the early hit densely populated areas like New York, where they are still only slightly off the peak death rate and are still piling bodies in refrigerated trucks at hospitals. And the nursing homes and prisons. It hasn’t even begun to sweep over the less dense areas with no hospitals, that will be the long tail of the curve. Then we find out if we screwed up and brought a big second wave. Very worrisome is the healthcare workers getting infected and dying, dealing with patients dying on every shift, worrying about infecting their families. If this is still coming in waves 1-2 years from now, we aren’t going to have any doctors and nurses. Who would do that job long term, even if they don’t get sick and die? As various people have pointed out, this may be a war, but even soldiers aren’t asked to put their family’s lives at risk. From: AF mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com On Behalf Of ch...@wbmfg.com Sent: Monday, April 20, 2020 10:21 AM To: af@af.afmug.com Subject: [AFMUG] OT still a bit of hope and optimism Looks a bit Gaussian to me. I hope... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
-- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
