On Fri, Feb 28, 2025 at 10:25 AM, hari kumar wrote:

> 
> As always perhaps, it is not so straight-forward...I believe that indeed
> there is a re-shuffling of the powers that be.  But such dramatic changes,
> may take time

I fully agree nothing is forever, Hari, but I'm not sure what you're referring 
to when you say there is already a re-shuffling of the powers that be.

Some point to China's rapid technological and economic development which could 
well surpass that of the US.  As you know, I don't accept that it necessarily 
follows that the PRC is acquiring or intends to acquire an overseas Chinese 
"empire" paralleling that of the US which will inevitably lead to war between 
the two powers.  I think it's equally possible that the economic competition 
between them could proceed  - as it generally does between industry leaders 
domestically -  within a common global economic framework. The 
inter-penetration of capital is today far more advanced  internationally than 
in previous periods when the communications and transportation barriers between 
feudal principalities and infant nations were much higher.

It's true that the US is experiencing imperial overreach and that its use of 
sanctions, asset seizures, and other forms of economic pressure based on its 
"exorbitant privilege" have produced a reaction represented by the growth of 
the BRICS and the search for an alternative reserve currency. But this 
coalition is not politically homogenous and is still very far from representing 
a real challenge to US hegemony.  For this to change, I'm with those who argue 
that the US would first have to be seriously weakened  by its own internal 
contradictions within and between the classes.

As always, I'll welcome your further thoughts.


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