On 1/8/2025 4:11 AM, Quentin Anciaux wrote:
Brent,

The core of my argument is that in a single-world framework, the ensemble of possibilities described by Schrödinger’s equation is only conceptual. If only one history is realized, then those "possibilities" don’t exist in any meaningful way—they’re theoretical abstractions. In the absence of an actual ensemble from which a selection occurs, the notion of randomness is a metaphor, not a mechanism.

In the many-worlds framework, every possibility is realized, so the "selection" is an emergent phenomenon from within the structure of the totality. In the single-world view, however, there’s no actual ensemble. Probabilities merely describe the likelihood of the one realized outcome, but there’s no underlying framework where those possibilities are instantiated. Randomness then becomes a label for the lack of explanation rather than a true process.

To say "the single history simply is" and call that random doesn’t resolve the issue—it just restates it. Without an ensemble that exists ontologically (even probabilistically), the idea of selection collapses because there’s nothing to select from. The photon emission you mentioned is described by probabilities in QM, but those probabilities don’t correspond to real, alternate outcomes in a single-world framework. The realized outcome is the only one that exists, and all other "possibilities" are simply unrealized ideas.

In contrast, in the many-worlds interpretation, the photon’s emission in one state is one thread of the total structure, and alternate emissions exist along other threads. This gives explanatory power to the probabilities, as they correspond to real structures within the ensemble.
But small probabilities explain why things */don't/* exist.

Regarding your point that probabilities lose meaning in MWI because all possibilities are realized—that’s not the case. Probabilities in MWI are understood as the measure of the branching structure relative to the observer's perspective. They still hold meaning because they reflect the structure of the multiverse, not a singular outcome.
What about the one's for which P=0, you could as well say that reflect the structure of the multiverse.  Will you make an ensemble of them?

The single-world view still strikes me as incoherent because it leans on the language of probability and possibility but denies their actual realization. Without an ensemble, it’s hard to see what randomness truly means.
In every other application of probability theory (and for years I headed the Reliability Division at Pt. Mugu) the ensemble is only notional.  It is a the set of possibilities without assuming that they exist, in which case they would be actualities.  With an ensemble of which every member exists, randomness becomes incoherent.

Brent

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