Mixed residential (ages 25 - 75, 1 - 6 people per unit), group who worked together to keep costs down. Works well for them. Friday nights we get to about 85% utilization (Netflix), other than that, usually sits between 25 - 45%
paul > On Apr 2, 2019, at 5:44 PM, Jared Mauch <ja...@puck.nether.net> wrote: > > I would say this is perhaps atypical but may depend on the customer type(s). > > If they’re residential and use OTT data then sure. If it’s SMB you’re likely > in better shape. > > - Jared > > >> On Apr 2, 2019, at 5:21 PM, Paul Nash <p...@nashnetworks.ca> wrote: >> >> FWIW, I have a 250 subscribers sitting on a 100M fiber into Torix. I have >> had no complains about speed in 4 1/2 years. I have been planning to bump >> them to 1G for the last 4 years, but there is currently no economic >> justification. >> >> paul >> >> >>> On Apr 2, 2019, at 3:21 PM, Louie Lee via NANOG <nanog@nanog.org> wrote: >>> >>> Certainly. >>> >>> Projecting demand is one thing. Figuring out what to buy for your backbone, >>> edge (uplink & peer), and colo (for CDN caches too!), for which >>> scale+growth is quite another. >>> >>> And yeah, Jim, overall, things have stayed the same. There are just the >>> nuances added with caches, gaming, OTT streaming, some IoT (like always-on >>> home security cams) plus better tools now for network management and >>> network analysis. >>> >>> Louie >>> Google Fiber. >>> >>> >>> >>> On Tue, Apr 2, 2019 at 12:00 PM Jared Mauch <ja...@puck.nether.net> wrote: >>> >>> >>>> On Apr 2, 2019, at 2:35 PM, jim deleskie <deles...@gmail.com> wrote: >>>> >>>> +1 on this. its been more than 10 years since I've been responsible for a >>>> broadband network but have friends that still play in that world and do >>>> some very good work on making sure their models are very well managed, >>>> with more math than I ever bothered with, That being said, If had used the >>>> methods I'd had used back in the 90's they would have fully predicted per >>>> sub growth including all the FB/YoutubeNetflix traffic we have today. The >>>> "rapid" growth we say in the 90's and the 2000' and even this decade are >>>> all magically the same curve, we'd just further up the incline, the >>>> question is will it continue another 10+ years, where the growth rate is >>>> nearing straight up :) >>> >>> >>> I think sometimes folks have the challenge with how to deal with aggregate >>> scale and growth vs what happens in a pure linear model with subscribers. >>> >>> The first 75 users look a lot different than the next 900. You get >>> different population scale and average usage. >>> >>> I could roughly estimate some high numbers for population of earth internet >>> usage at peak for maximum, but in most cases if you have a 1G connection >>> you can support 500-800 subscribers these days. Ideally you can get a 10G >>> link for a reasonable price. Your scale looks different as well as you can >>> work with “the content guys” once you get far enough. >>> >>> Thursdays are still the peak because date night is still generally Friday. >>> >>> - Jared >