On 18-Dec-21 23:00, Stewart Bryant wrote:
...
What is important is that we play the cards we are dealt not the ones we were
dealt in the last game. In other words we need to design for the Internet as it
will be, not the Internet we designed before and not the Internet that we would
wish for but which is not economically viable.
I don't think that helps. We don't have an accurate crystal ball, any more than
our predecessors did in the late 1970s. They designed a network that was
peer-to-peer at the network layer *and* that was cheaper to implement and
operate than various alternatives (such as X.25, ISDN, and ATM). Capitalism
took that and ran with it, producing an Internet with increasingly concentrated
services at the application layer but still peer-to-peer at the packet level;
it's just that application services are peer-to-service-to-peer. I have no idea
whether anybody predicted that in the 1970s, but most people didn't.
Unless crystal ball technology has improved since the 1970s, I don't see how we will
predict "the Internet as it will be".
If we think that services will continue to predominate, we could focus on that,
but it might be a completely wrong guess.
https://datatracker.ietf.org/doc/draft-jiang-service-oriented-ip/
https://doi.org/10.1109/INFOCOMWKSHPS50562.2020.9162749
Regards
Brian
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