Just as a thought: how much is this discussion led by the use of Internet 
technologies for the public Internet vs use of Internet technologies for 
non-public use or limited domains (or even something we may consider future 
versions of the 'public internet')? In other words, is this trend to 
centralization similar in other emerging areas for use of Internet 
technologies? If not, we may just be in danger of pushing the underlying 
technologies into a direction where they may become less relevant for realizing 
those new use cases. 

Take autonomous driving: my understanding here is that while today's car OEMs 
still rely on centralized cloud provisioning, this model is increasingly 
questioned when moving to L5 autonomous driving, possibly requiring a much more 
P2P view on service interactions (i.e., it may either be host->host, here to 
car-to-car, or host->service->service but with severely localized service 
instances). 

So should our current view of the economic realities (in the largely 
consumer-facing content market) really drive the foresight for where to go in 
terms of network technologies?  

Dirk

-----Original Message-----
From: Int-area [mailto:int-area-boun...@ietf.org] On Behalf Of Geoff Huston
Sent: 18 December 2021 00:55
To: Brian E Carpenter <brian.e.carpen...@gmail.com>
Cc: Int-area@ietf.org
Subject: Re: [Int-area] Where/How is the features innovation happening?

> But on the other hand, while what you say about economics is undoubtedly 
> true, don't we want to keep the peer-to-peer option open *as a matter of 
> principle*? After all, we still have that option for phone calls, even though 
> it's now a minority usage pattern for mobile devices.
> 


How much money are consumers willing to fork out as a premium for a matter of 
principle? The answer is uncomfortable, I suspect.

I find this world we’ve backed into about as crappy and unpleasant as anyone 
else on this int-area list, and like many others I wish it were otherwise. But 
as many folk have said in the past, when assessing where we are and what to do 
about it, the trick is not in seeing what's around us - everyone sees that. The 
trick is to believe what we see. The phone companies saw their destruction but 
simply could not believe it. There are many such examples.

The commercial marketplace, in striving for bigger, faster, and cheaper has 
simply cut out the network from the picture and is trying to take replicated 
content as close as it can to the user. The economic imperatives that have 
driven us to this place are, in retrospect, inescapable. Yes, a lot has been 
discarded along the way, including every protocol except HTTPS, but the harsh 
rule is that if not enough consumers are prepared to pay for it, directly or 
indirectly, then it just doesn't happen any more.

There is innovation happening to return to the subject line of this thread, but 
the innovation is happening in those places where there is money and a certain 
impatience to shift things around, and in the last decade or so that is heading 
up into the world of content and applications. The lower layers, including 
platform and network are not only commoditised, but steadily ossifying. There 
is just no money and no desire to shake up these lower layers right now, nor in 
the immediate to medium term future.

As a network layer person I personally find this a pretty sad situation, and I 
would like it to be otherwise. But the capital markets don't listen to me. They 
are busy talking up the content and cloud folk who are busy pushing out 
replicated content ever closer to the consumer, and they neither care nor value 
anything else.

Geoff
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