It sounds like "the Adjacent Possible"  just ain't possible* in AI land?  With the punchline "you just can't get there from here"?

So what is the graph geodesic distance across the adjacent possible between "today" and Kurzweil's /singularity/?  And is the topology of "the Singularity" a fully connected graph in the AP with a max distance of 1?   All things are (equally) possible?   Like the graph-theoretic equivalent of a black hole? Thus /singularity/? /Everything, Everywhere, All at Once /?  Sounds like the "entropy death" of the multiverse?

Or is the conceit that there is a practical limit to human's ability to "keep up" and we are simply "overcome by events" while the *universe* continues to be roughly as complex as ever, just with human's complexity overshadowed/outstripped by that of machine intelligence?   WE Be Deprecated?

On 4/1/23 8:29 AM, Roger Critchlow wrote:
I think that it depends on having a board of directors/private owner prepared to take their hands off the wheel.

The main problem would be trolls attempting adversarial prompts.  However comfortable you might get with the ai's ability to handle the day to day affairs, would you ever feel safe from some ai whisperer persuading it to give everything away and become a yogi?  I suppose you have the same problem with meat C-suite officers, too.

I tried to get Bard to talk with me about the adjacent possible (AP) the other day.  It agreed that the AP could not be represented as a mathematical set, but it continued to talk about the AP as if it were a set.  So it suggested formulating the AP as a graph, or a tree, or as the states of a dynamical system.  I pushed for a non-set formalism and it gave me fuzzy sets.  I guess I have to try harder.

-- rec --

On Sat, Apr 1, 2023 at 8:05 AM Grant Holland <grant.holland...@gmail.com> wrote:

    Good point, Cody!

    On Mar 31, 2023, at 9:16 PM, cody dooderson <d00d3r...@gmail.com>
    wrote:

    While I think that AI could soon handle the managerial part of a
    CEO's job, they may have trouble playing golf. It might not
    matter if the stock is going up.
    I am very ignorant about what CEO's do 'though.

    On Fri, Mar 31, 2023, 5:33 PM Grant Holland
    <grant.holland...@gmail.com> wrote:

        So what do you think? Are CEOs, CFOs etc. and corporate board
        members at any medium or short-term risk of losing their jobs
        to machine learning? I like to hear some opinions on this.

        Thx,
        Grant

        > On Mar 31, 2023, at 1:21 PM, Gary Schiltz
        <g...@naturesvisualarts.com> wrote:
        >
        > Arrrr... looking more closely, Grant wrote CxO not QxO.
        Google quickly
        > enlightened me on the former. Sorry for the noise.
        >
        > On Fri, Mar 31, 2023 at 2:19 PM Gary Schiltz
        <g...@naturesvisualarts.com> wrote:
        >>
        >> I must admit my ignorance here, not aided in the least by
        a cursory
        >> Google search: What is QxO?
        >>
        >> On Thu, Mar 30, 2023 at 10:59 AM Grant Holland
        >> <grant.holland...@gmail.com> wrote:
        >>>
        >>> Frank,
        >>>
        >>> I'm wondering why no-one seems to raise the specter that
        AI could start replacing management personnel. And I’m
        including CxO’s here; because I’m not convinced that CxO-ing
        is rocket science or quantum mechanics. Think of the billions
        saved. After all, if machine learning cannot get good at
        making better decisions than humans, and constantly improving
        at it, I would be very surprised.
        >>>
        >>> Grant
        >>>
        >>> On Mar 30, 2023, at 8:58 AM, Frank Wimberly
        <wimber...@gmail.com> wrote:
        >>>
        >>> Not particularly relevant to your main point but Raj
        Reddy, close colleague of Newell and Simon, once said, "It is
        easier use AI to replace a college professor than a bulldozer
        operator" or words tho that effect.
        >>>
        >>> Frank
        >>>
        >>> ---
        >>> Frank C. Wimberly
        >>> 140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
        >>> Santa Fe, NM 87505
        >>>
        >>> 505 670-9918
        >>> Santa Fe, NM
        >>>
        >>> On Thu, Mar 30, 2023, 8:50 AM Prof David West
        <profw...@fastmail.fm> wrote:
        >>>>
        >>>> The "AI Pause" made national TV news yesterday (long
        after those on this list noted and reacted to it) and that
        made me revisit a theme I have thought about since Newell,
        Simon, and Shaw created Logic Theorist.
        >>>>
        >>>> Advocates take a caricature (perhaps too strong a word)
        of human intelligence, write a program to emulate it and
        declare the program "intelligent."
        >>>>
        >>>> The original conceit: true intelligence was the kind of
        thinking exhibited by college professors and scientists.
        Almost trivial to emulate (Newell and Simon programmed Logic
        Theorist on 3x5 cards before Shaw was able to implement on a
        computer).
        >>>>
        >>>> Maybe reading—correctly converting text to sound, like a
        child—was more indicative of human intelligence, and
        Sejnowski created NetTalk. that, somewhat eerily, produced
        discoveries of sounds, and errors, and achieved near perfect
        ability to "read." Listen to the tapes sometime and contrast
        them with tapes of a human child learning to read. Of course,
        comprehension of what was read did not make the cut.
        >>>>
        >>>> State of the art improved dramatically and the
        caricatures of human intelligence are more sophisticated and
        the achievements of the programs more interesting.
        >>>>
        >>>> But, it seems to me there is still a critical gap. We
        can program an AI (or let one learn) to fly a commercial jet
        as well or better than a human pilot—BUT, could even the best
        of of breed of such an AI pull a Shullenberger and land on
        the Hudson River?
        >>>>
        >>>> Another factor behind the "hysteria" (sorry for the
        sexism) over AIs causing massive unemployment is a corollary
        to the caricaturization of human intelligence. Since the
        Industrial Revolution, and certainly since the age of
        Taylorism and the rise of automation; work itself has been
        dehumanizing.
        >>>>
        >>>> If you define human work in terms of what can be done by
        a computer then it is tautological to claim an AI is
        intelligent because it can perform human work.
        >>>>
        >>>> I was contemplating ChatAIs and quickly realized that my
        profession—college professor—was one at immense risk of
        replacement. I would bet good money that a ChatAI could
        produce, and maybe deliver, lectures far better than any I
        created in 30 years teaching. And probably most, if not all,
        of the presentations I made at professional conferences over
        the years.
        >>>>
        >>>> I am still vain enough to think that some of the papers
        and books I have written are beyond an AI, and certain that
        no AI could do as well in spontaneious Q&A after a
        presentation than I.
        >>>>
        >>>> Bottom line, I still believe that AI can and does equate
        to HI, only when some aspect of HI is ommitted from the
        equation. This is not essentialism, but analogous to the
        digitization of a sine wave, no matter the finite sampling
        rate, there is always some missing information.
        >>>>
        >>>> davew
        >>>>
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