With ubiquitous, inexpensive energy, electrocatalysis could be used to convert 
carbon dioxide to clean hydrogen fuel.

From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> On Behalf Of Steve Smith
Sent: Thursday, January 27, 2022 7:26 PM
To: friam@redfish.com
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Cautionary Tales: CliFi



On 1/27/22 5:17 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04281-w


If only ubiquitous, inexpensive energy was the solution to (or the lack of it 
the root rather than one of the symptoms of) our overshoot problems.

I believe it is yet another installment in what seems to be a series of 
piecewise Sigmoid curves... exponential growth that gives way to 
(self-limiting) asymptotic "saturation"  which then yields a qualitative jump 
to the next paradigm/technology.  (from human power to animal power to 
wind/river to coal-steam to internal combustion/turbine to fission to 
fusion)...  each one with it's "horseshit parable" of unintended (but surely 
predictable in some sense) consequences.

We are better at kicking the can down the road or engaging in a Red-Queen style 
"race against ourselves" than anything.

The electrification of many things *does* relieve a bunch of endemic problems 
to fossil-fuels whle offering some of the efficiencies of scale (gas fired 
turbine is more efficient than an oversized V8 ICE idling at every stoplight 
and in the parking lot to keep the HVAC/Radio running in spite of the losses to 
transmission/storage/motors/etc.) and while I might enumerate some of the more 
obvious un(der) spoken to problems, I doubt even the strongest opponents (from 
the dark-brown right and the bright green right) can have a good understanding 
of what unintended/expected consequences are implied.

I've become quite the techno/progress-luddite in spite of having a strong 
affinity to both.   I studied Physics and joined LANL and worked on myriad 
projects (still do) with the illusion that if I helped just kick the can a 
little harder or help the red queen run a little faster, it would change the 
nature of those games fundamentally.

I can't see that it has.   Musk is trying to kick our cans from fossil fuel 
extraction/combustion/spills to Lithium (and heavy metals) 
extraction/discarding as well as the can of an out of-balance biosphere on 
earth to terraforming Mars (with care and thoughtful intention and no 
unexpected side-effects?).

It is all well out of my control (except my own habits/consumption/behaviour) 
but I can't help noting that most if not all of my "best ideas" have turned out 
to be variations on "kick the can" and "red queen".

Gramble,

 - Steve





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