Steve,

In the Bay Area, and in other places there is a trend toward electrification.  
It sounds plausible on the surface, but to go all the way means solar for water 
and for electricity.  Most houses within financial reach for most people don't 
have the square footage to support all that.   Consider that a smaller electric 
on-demand hot water heater could draw 75 amps flat out.   There's no reasonable 
way to get lithium batteries that can absorb that kind of load.   That would be 
$50k just to even start on the batteries never mind the panels.   If not that, 
then one must give up (often limited) lot space for the tube style solar, which 
really isn't all that efficient.
The "freedom from the utility" is just not going to happen except in the posh 
South San Francisco type areas.   Meanwhile the utilities want to penalize 
individual solar producers because they stress the grid.

Meanwhile, if the price of gasoline goes north of $5 / gallon, people are 
screaming bloody murder.   Why isn't it $20?   No, these folks (which is mostly 
everyone it seems) aren't going to be joining the 2000-watt society.   And then 
there's the Manchin types holding out to keep coal​ afloat?   Don't we just 
deserve to suffer at this point?  At least we could try but fail to develop and 
deploy replacements.   That non-fiction would be interesting reading.

Marcus

________________________________
From: Friam <friam-boun...@redfish.com> on behalf of Steve Smith 
<sasm...@swcp.com>
Sent: Thursday, January 27, 2022 12:15 PM
To: friam@redfish.com <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Cautionary Tales: CliFi


Marcus -

Thanks for your feedback on KSR's writing style... it really sobered me to 
realize how much of an obsessionist I am on this topic and what I will ignore 
to feed that obsession.

I tripped over (thank you Google News Feed) an interesting article in Grist:

https://grist.org/climate/with-the-world-on-fire-climate-fiction-no-longer-looks-like-fantasy/

that resonated with my reflections.   While I do feel a little obsessive on the 
topic (not just climate but all the convergent "endogenous existential threats" 
coming at us),  I feel somewhat balanced about it, especially as I graze on the 
buffets that books like MotF and Stephenson's Termination Shock and Amithav 
Ghosh's "Great Derangement" offer.   I also found William Gibson's Jackpot 
Series:

https://www.wired.co.uk/article/william-gibson-agency

refreshing (for a dystopia) with our myriad existential threats (climate, 
species, pollution, finance, civil unrest, fascism, etc.) converging on a bit 
of a (nasty) wet-fizzle of an apocalypse he sardonically dubs "The Jackpot".

The Grist article describes (somewhat) the value of keeping one's eye on the 
dystopian/apocalyptic future threatened by our short-sighted habits and (overly 
optimistic?) conceptions of the future generated by our materialistic 
pop-culture.

Someone here (Marcus, Glen, EricS ?) mentioned Musk and the idea that he might 
be pursuing the canonical "Good Old Fashioned Future" coined in the Golden Age 
and refashioned in the Modern Era of Science Fiction.    We boomers (and Xers?) 
who went into Sci/Tech likely read at least a lot of Marvel/DC comics (if not 
the Science Fiction without pictures) of our era and I claim it heavily shaped 
our image of what was possible/desireable.    I don't think it is serving us 
(Gaia of whom we are her most precocious children?)

[https://theretrofuturist.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/1958flyingcar.jpg]
- Steve

On 1/25/22 5:58 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:

< It might not surprise anyone here that I have become a CliFi obsessionist 
with Kim Stanly Robinson's stuff well represented ("Ministry for the Future" 
standing out well above the others).  His Red/Green/Blue Mars series is a good 
complement with the social/technological/spiritual implications of Terraforming 
there. >



Huh.  I found MftF drawn-out and boring with distracting little nonsense 
chapters interleaved.   I don’t see why it is popular.   A few good ideas here 
and there but couldn’t care less about the characters.  It could be massively 
compressed.

That would be *all* of KSR's novels I'm afraid...  my obsession with the ideas 
(unanticipated problems as well as unanticipated responses) trumps any need I 
have for being entertained by the characters or even plot.

It really read to me (as you point out) as a series of loosely connected 
vignettes of specific interest.   To the extent that *some* of the MoTF 
characters did get under my skin, it was as an irritant as much as anything.   
I probably read Red Mars when it was new as my introduction to KSR and did not 
go back to his writing until as little as 5 years ago when I found his topics 
more relevant than I had acknowledged before...  He seemed to me to be a lot 
preachy and I guess now I'm enough of the choir to be able to hum along with 
his sermons now.

Stephenson also gets very tedious for me, but I find his depth of research and 
quirkiness of characters and technical surprises worthy of my attention through 
his gruelingly long and seemingly careening storylines and characters.

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