On Thu, Jan 24, 2008 at 03:19:52PM +0100, Magnus Persson wrote:
> 
> As a rule of thumb I want 300 games for each datapoint and at least  
> 500 if I am going to make any conclusions.

Ok, I think we start to have those 500 games.

To my eyes, FatMan shows a clear turn in the curve at FatMan_03. Before that
point the curveis practically a straight line, and after that it is pretty
well linear too, but with a considerably lower scope. 

For MoGo, there may or may not be such transition around MoGo_04.

I still find it an odd coincidence that these turns happen around 1400-1600
ELO, which is close to the limit of what a pure MC-program can reach. 

So, I have two questions for the list. 

1) I am not much of a statistician, so I can still not judge how much I could
trust this thing I see in the curves. 

2) Assuming there is something in it, what can we conclude from it? That
having a better evaluation function helps an UCT program, but more on lower
levels of play, where its effects are greater. That there can be changes in
the scalability of UCT programs. We (may) have identified one. Will there be
another lurking somewhere?

- Heikki

-- 
Heikki Levanto   "In Murphy We Turst"     heikki (at) lsd (dot) dk

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