On Thu, Jan 24, 2008 at 10:34:42PM +0900, Hideki Kato wrote: > The numbers of games are about 200 and their ratings' standard > deviations (right of Elo) are 70 to 100, right now. To get 95% of > reliability, you have to double them. Don't you think it's too early > to conclude any?
Well, I am just a programmer - statistics is not my strong point. But to me the curves definetly look like they are converging towards linear segments, with a definitive break. With Mogo I might perhaps accept it all as random variations, since the middle of the curve is still so uneven. But Fatman clearly shows two (almost) straight lines and a corner at _03. Of course we can wait until we get more data. I just wanted to share my observation that the curves seem to change around the level where MC playouts tend to flatten out, and hear if anyone would have some insightful comments to that. Even with the risk that more data may invalidate my observation... - Heikki -- Heikki Levanto "In Murphy We Turst" heikki (at) lsd (dot) dk _______________________________________________ computer-go mailing list computer-go@computer-go.org http://www.computer-go.org/mailman/listinfo/computer-go/
