On 9 Apr 2007 at 16:39, Dan Minette wrote: > > Assuming zero gains from the technology deployed, true. > > I'm certain that the analysis included ordinary increases in technological > efficiencies....but not breakthroughs (which can't be scheduled). For
Actually, no, the 50 billion figure does not. 35 billion, yes, at todays levels of efficientcy. > reference purposes, Moore's law would reflect the former, but the > breakthrough of QM based physics did not. Moore's law has never applied to reducing the poloution we have created... > >But even > > assuming zero advance from todays technologies, arround 35% of the > > costs would be recouped from more efficient processes. > > Haven't processes been getting more efficient all along? Haven't greenhouse > gases still increased tremendously. Corperations and governments look to the short term bottom line. Not that a decade in the future, or even further. > >Assuming > > technology which should be reaching the market within a year, 40%. > > This trend...is going to continue. > > Then, why hasn't it been seen since the cost of fuel has gone up through the > roof? It's been seven years since the price of natural gas has gone up in > California. It's been eight years since the low of 10 dollars/barrel oil > prices. It's approaching two years since the near record price in the > summer of '05. It is only now finally approaching the boundary where alternate methods are cost-effective. There simply has not been the political will in America to push for environmental protection, as you know. The attitude is that there are new sources of oil. And there will be. But at a cost both in money and to the environment. Yes, I'm eco-realist, but I've never thought that in the end we will have a soloution. This is what I believe is the answer to Fermi's Paradox, quite frankly. It is quite clear that our government and legal systems are not even remotely in step with the environmental and societal changes... AndrewC Dawn Falcon _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
