> -----Original Message-----
> From: Jan Coffey [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> Sent: Tuesday, March 02, 2004 5:52 PM
> To: Killer Bs Discussion
> Subject: Re: Race to the Bottom
> 
> 
> --- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Kevin Tarr <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > At 11:36 AM 3/2/2004, you wrote:
> > >  Half of our development staff is Indian. I turn to them to tell
> me the
> > >technology can do what I want it to do. They are the subject
> matter experts
> > >to programming. The American developers are OK, but the Indians
> really get
> > >it, and they really enjoy the work.  They are also the most
> friendly. The
> > >American developers here are probably the most unsocial people in
> IT. They
> > >have not make the transcendental shift to socially connect to the
> business
> > >that supports their lifestyle. It is these people that complain
> that wages
> > >are diminishing, that there is too much foreign competition, and
> how
> > >everyone outside of their little world are idiots who don't get
> technology.
> > >I have news for them. The Ivory Tower they live in is falling.
> > >
> > >
> > >Nerd From Hell
> 
> I would say that you don't get it. I have had a number of experiences 
> with outsourcing and all of them have been the same.

Let me clarify my position on Indian programmers. I was referring to the
Indian programmers here on staff. Some of the friendliest guys here - Always
say hi to me in the elevator. They love to do analysis. They would not be
here if they could not compete head to head against U.S. programmers. In
India, being paid to be a programmer is easy do to, but everyone needs to do
the time to learn the ropes, here or abroad. 

> 
> I have seen project after project canceled, not because the software 
> could not be written, but because the people writing the software 
> were not capable, were not mature enough to succeed. Even when the 
> designs were sound, the ability to execute on those designs...the 
> ability to even understand those designs was minimal.
> 
> Just look at the ratio of failures that Infosys has had, and they are 
> India's top firm.

I did mention earlier that a local company here did contract a Indian firm
to do a project, analysis and all, and it failed horribly. I agree with you
here. Outsourcing is still difficult to do successfully, and I can't
remember anyone having good success with it. It still does not change the
fact that Managers will at least try to sell out the American worker for a
few bucks. The fool is right about that. It does not mean that it will be
successful. It also does not mean that Managers should not try. The Fool is
against letting market forces re-educate IT management about the value of
American programming. It is a cry to say, " We are afraid that we might
lose, so let's whack them off at the knees before they have a chance to show
their mettle." I am in favor of outsourcing because I think it will light a
fire under the "Lazy American Programmers" . We withstood the Dotcom
fallout, we can withstand this as well. I say, allow criticism to be the
referee in this issue.

<SNIP>
> 
> Even if this were not the case, even if we were comparing like 
> abilities (which WILL eventually be the case, and faster than you 
> might think), even then, we are talking about flooding a market, we 
> are talking about undercutting. If for instance we were talking about 
> Diamonds, or Gold, or anything, this would not be acceptable. Free 
> market does not mean that someone can artificially change the value 
> of something by flooding the market with that product.
> 

You make a good segue for me to mention again that the value is very
artificial. When Indian firms contract out to China for work, there is
something that will break. Perhaps that will happen when China decides to
honestly valuate its money.


> 
> >> The American developers here are probably the most unsocial people
> in IT.
> 
> This may be the case, but I do not believe you are correct when you 
> say "unsocial", maybe just social in a different way than many who 
> studied Business instead of Computer Science. But do you believe that 
> these people should not be able to make a good living? Is it your 
> opinion that only ~Social~ people should be allowed into the middle, 
> or upper middle class? It's true, many of the Computer Scientists I 
> know who grew up in the US, and who enjoy Software Engineering, have 
> an alternative social ability. Does that mean that they should only 
> be allowed to work for McDonalds wages?
You must mean McDonalds management wages. Top range is about 45,000 /year. I
see a lot of job posting for developers at this rate. Clearly rates have
gone down for developers, unless you know Oracle, Peoplesoft or SAP. 


 This group of people have 
> found a carrier that affords them the ability to participate in the 
> American Dream, but form the sound of it, you would have them all 
> unemployed, and their jobs all sent over seas to people who will 
> treat you as if you are their master, and work for slave wages.

You made the strong point that failures occur when these jobs move overseas.
Do you think that this strategy will be successful? As Erik pointed out on
another thread (Oh my god, I'm agreeing with Erik!) these things are
cyclical. I am suggesting that we should allow the mistakes to happen - to
allow criticism to rule. legislating our way into jobs will only forestall
the inevitable. Offshore programming will have their chance to prove
themselves. They will eventually be successful. We need to be ready to be as
hungry as them when it comes to competing. 
I am sympathetic to the "blight" of the U.S. developer. I hate to see the
wages decreased. It is my thought that we are in a period where IT
management is essentially challenging the status quo. The vocalization
coming from that is that the greedy corporate empire is selling the common
developer out for a few extra bucks. Freightliner has already been accused
of this recently by the Oregon Association of Technical Professionals. 
http://www.ortech.org/Freightliner.html

But here is what 3 of the leading "Big Bosses" say about it. Take it for
what its worth...

"There is no job that is America's God-given right anymore. We have to
compete for jobs." 
Carly Fiorina, chief executive for Hewlett-Packard Co.

"..(the United States) now has to compete for every job going forward. That
has not been on the table before. It had been assumed we had a lock on
white-collar jobs and high-tech jobs. That is no longer the case." 
Craig Barrett, CEO of Intel

"A couple of years ago, the biggest American corporations would have
considered it risky to outsource mission-critical work to India, but it is
now becoming a common sense proposition."   
        Bill Gates


So my message has been a bit convoluted. I see the inevitability of
outsourcing. I see a lot of people complaining about it, talking about how
great we are, how we don't deserve such treatment because we are so good at
what we do. I disagree with this statement. The way to fight this war, and
it is war, is to accept the facts, and make your case. If we are as good as
we say we are, it obviously is not enough to convince the market we are
worth the money we get paid. This is what needs to be changed, not trade
laws to restrict these practices. We may very well have to hump it for a
while, before things adjust.  

Jan has made great arguments about why outsourcing is bad business.
Hopefully his prognosis will be true. But there will be a period of trial
for the truth to be reflected in the market. 

I am very concerned about jobs moving overseas. I don't want it to happen,
but it seems to be happening. It been going on for a while. I myself, almost
put forth effort to provide outsourcing from these countries to American
companies. 

At the same time, I see where the application of what we do best, which is
to convert intellectual capital into currency becoming secondary to the art
of the work. With talk of Unions for white collar tech workers being drafted
in the suburban corner pubs, planning on how to provide greater security for
the poor white collar worker, corporations are fighting a global economy
which wants a piece of the American Pie. 
I am making a call to arms. Its time to innovate - to do some American
Ass-kicking. We are the corporation. Its up to us in IT to use the brains we
have to make the corporation profitable. If that means a buildup of big
Iron, or dumping the latest greatest technology to bolster some legacy
system, then that's what it will take. Someone in IT has to make the case
that IT provides value. Right now it appears we don't. 
I suggested that this is best done through analysis. From my perspective,
Business/system Analysts have been given the pigskin. They are expected to
score. I am not confident they will succeed. It will take troops from the
trenches - the developers - to provide the benevolence needed at this time.
I don't see that happening. This is my message - get your head out of the
latest "Windoze Sucks" journal and start getting involved with what it
happening  "socially" in the business. Your job DOES depend on it.

And with that said, I really need to get back to work. Security just
implemented a new load balancer front end last night, and it is tanking the
authentication process for our dealers.  offline(Dealer)=parts.revenue(lost)

Time for me to "socialize" with the security tech workers to see if I can
help.

Chad Cooper





 

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