Well yes but I'm not gambling on deaths from the corona.
Josh Luthman
Office: 937-552-2340
Direct: 937-552-2343
1100 Wayne St
Suite 1337
Troy, OH 45373
On Wed, May 13, 2020 at 11:11 AM <ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote:
> With curve fitting you have to consider things like simulated annealing
> and local minima. Lots of ways to project a trend, but peaks and valleys,
> especially periodic features like this are very good indicators.
> The stock market calls these “flags” and flags can make you rich.
>
> *From:* Josh Luthman
> *Sent:* Wednesday, May 13, 2020 9:01 AM
> *To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
> *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Do I dare jinx it?
>
> Agreed. Looks to me like we also have a lot of positive tests during the
> week and weekdays are much smaller. We should be concerned about the
> overall picture, not the peaks and valleys.
>
> Josh Luthman
> Office: 937-552-2340
> Direct: 937-552-2343
> 1100 Wayne St
> Suite 1337
> Troy, OH 45373
>
>
> On Wed, May 13, 2020 at 10:15 AM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> I would love if they still did the 7-day moving average. If you look at
>> the logarithmic curve of total deaths, the curve is actually flattening.
>> However, the linear curve is still rising.
>>
>> Since there is about a 2 to 2-1/2 hysteresis to the action/effect, we
>> will know more sometime between May 24 and May 30. Much of the country is
>> "opening up" around May 10, so if that negatively impacts the death rate,
>> we won't really know about it for 14-18 days.
>>
>>
>>
>> bp
>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>
>>
>> On 5/13/2020 7:06 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
>>
>> [image: image]
>>
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