No but the politicians are.
From: Josh Luthman
Sent: Wednesday, May 13, 2020 9:14 AM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Do I dare jinx it?
Well yes but I'm not gambling on deaths from the corona.
Josh Luthman
Office: 937-552-2340
Direct: 937-552-2343
1100 Wayne St
Suite 1337
Troy, OH 45373
On Wed, May 13, 2020 at 11:11 AM <ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote:
With curve fitting you have to consider things like simulated annealing and
local minima. Lots of ways to project a trend, but peaks and valleys,
especially periodic features like this are very good indicators.
The stock market calls these “flags” and flags can make you rich.
From: Josh Luthman
Sent: Wednesday, May 13, 2020 9:01 AM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT Do I dare jinx it?
Agreed. Looks to me like we also have a lot of positive tests during the
week and weekdays are much smaller. We should be concerned about the overall
picture, not the peaks and valleys.
Josh Luthman
Office: 937-552-2340
Direct: 937-552-2343
1100 Wayne St
Suite 1337
Troy, OH 45373
On Wed, May 13, 2020 at 10:15 AM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:
I would love if they still did the 7-day moving average. If you look at the
logarithmic curve of total deaths, the curve is actually flattening. However,
the linear curve is still rising.
Since there is about a 2 to 2-1/2 hysteresis to the action/effect, we will
know more sometime between May 24 and May 30. Much of the country is "opening
up" around May 10, so if that negatively impacts the death rate, we won't
really know about it for 14-18 days.
bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
On 5/13/2020 7:06 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
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