The market is so high for the actual conditions of the economy right now, I wonder how it could zoom with the news of a successful vaccine.   That would be a very weird market boom...

On 5/13/20 8:10 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
With curve fitting you have to consider things like simulated annealing and local minima.  Lots of ways to project a trend, but peaks and valleys, especially periodic features like this are very good indicators.
The stock market calls these “flags” and flags can make you rich.
*From:* Josh Luthman
*Sent:* Wednesday, May 13, 2020 9:01 AM
*To:* AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Do I dare jinx it?
Agreed.  Looks to me like we also have a lot of positive tests during the week and weekdays are much smaller.  We should be concerned about the overall picture, not the peaks and valleys.
Josh Luthman
Office: 937-552-2340
Direct: 937-552-2343
1100 Wayne St
Suite 1337
Troy, OH 45373
On Wed, May 13, 2020 at 10:15 AM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:

    I would love if they still did the 7-day moving average. If you
    look at the logarithmic curve of total deaths, the curve is
    actually flattening. However, the linear curve is still rising.

    Since there is about a 2 to 2-1/2 hysteresis to the action/effect,
    we will know more sometime between May 24 and May 30. Much of the
    country is "opening up" around May 10, so if that negatively
    impacts the death rate, we won't really know about it for 14-18 days.

    bp
    <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>

    On 5/13/2020 7:06 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
    image

-- AF mailing list
    AF@af.afmug.com
    http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

------------------------------------------------------------------------
--
AF mailing list
AF@af.afmug.com
http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com


-- 
AF mailing list
AF@af.afmug.com
http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com

Reply via email to