Not sure about a4. I don't think Hong Kong, South Korea, New Zealand, Australia has the same statistics as anywhere else but that depends upon what statistics you are talking about. Hong Kong stands out the most. Look at the cases and the deaths as of Today and you will wonder WTF are they making it all up? Could be, but most think they are accurate because they dealt with SARS before, they really knew what they were doing more than any other country. 4 deaths.

On 05/05/2020 10:41 AM, Steven Kenney wrote:
Can summarize this pretty easily. These are facts that probably we can agree upon.

1) Its a RNA based virus similar if not exactly like an exosome.
2) Its definitely more deadly than the regular flu
3) It isn't as deadly as everyone estimated it to be. (statistics and predictions are all off) 4) Countries who didn't close their economy has similar statistics than countries that did.
5) I'm still staying home either way just to be safe!

These points are to be debated and NOBODY can say with absolute certainty these things are correct.

1) The virus originated from China
2) It originated from a lab studying the virus.
3) It escaped either intentionally or accidentally.
4) The demographics the virus impacts may or may not be specific (old, young, white, black, asian etc) 5) The people reporting statistics for deaths/infections are 100% accurate. There are cases all over of under reporting and over reporting.

--
Steven Kenney
Network Operations Manager
WaveDirect Telecommunications
http://www.wavedirect.net
(519)737-WAVE (9283)

------------------------------------------------------------------------
*From: *"Mathew Howard" <mhoward...@gmail.com>
*To: *"af" <af@af.afmug.com>
*Sent: *Tuesday, May 5, 2020 12:59:03 PM
*Subject: *Re: [AFMUG] OT Is this good?

It seems to me, that what really matters is how many deaths there have been in excess of what the average was for the same period in previous years (yes, I know that's what they're talking about in the NYT article, but I'm too lazy to read it all and see how much detail they go into). We can argue all day about whether somebody that died of a heart attack died because they had covid19 or whether they just had an unrelated heart attack and just happened to have a mild case of covid, and whether they should be counted, but in the end, it doesn't really matter. If say, an average of 10,000 people died in X state in April for the past 5 years, and this year 15,000 died, then we can pretty safely blame 5,000 of those deaths on covid. It doesn't really matter if 6,000 people actually died of covid, but 1000 of them would've died of flu anyway, and it just happened to be covid that finished them off instead, or if 500 got so sick of sitting in front of the tv that they jumped off a bridge and were never infected. I don't think we'll ever have particularly accurate numbers of how many people directly died of the infection (other than maybe in Utah), but in a few months we should have pretty accurate numbers of how many excess deaths there were.

On Tue, May 5, 2020 at 11:22 AM Ken Hohhof <af...@kwisp.com <mailto:af...@kwisp.com>> wrote:

    Those who suspect an “agenda” will immediately dispute these graphs
    because the source is NYT which they will perceive as biased.  But
    if you read the article, they go out of their way to point out
    possible errors in the data, as well as other influences like
    overloaded healthcare system led to people dying of other causes,
    but also less deaths due to traffic and violence.  And the data as
    Bill says is from other sources, the paper didn’t make them up to
    suit a political agenda or bias.____

    __ __

    
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/28/us/coronavirus-death-toll-total.html____

    __ __

    In other countries like Italy, no doubt the deaths were undercounted
    because the system was overwhelmed.  Even in NYC, the morgues and
    crematories are overloaded, they are stuffing bodies in refrigerated
    semis, you can’t possibly claim these are just the normal deaths
    being mislabeled as Covid related to suit an agenda.  Then you have
    all the prison and nursing home deaths.  OK, sure, elderly people
    croak all the time, it’s a hoax.____

    __ __

    __ __

    *From:* AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com
    <mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com>> *On Behalf Of *Bill Prince
    *Sent:* Tuesday, May 5, 2020 11:02 AM
    *To:* af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com>
    *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Is this good?____

    __ __

    The numbers posted on various web sites are neither government
    sourced or corporate sourced. Hospitals, clinics, and morgues are
    supplying the numbers. There is a level of uncertainty because of
    different criteria. That is true for the US cases, but probably not
    for other countries. For example, the numbers coming from China (and
    several other countries) are by design government based. But to
    brush them all off as "government or corporations" is being naive at
    least.____

    I would not say that "most" patients have pre-existing conditions.
    Maybe a high percentage, but it does not explain why such a large
    number of otherwise healthy people are being infected the way they
    are. At some point, we will figure out that there is a genetic or
    environmental factor that we just do not understand yet.____

    I (for one) do not believe the numbers are 100% accurate, but I also
    do not believe the numbers are 100% fictitious either. Where you cut
    off is probably a personal thing.____

    bp____

    <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>____

    __  __

    On 5/5/2020 6:55 AM, Steven Kenney wrote:____

        You guys work with statistics much?  You think the numbers are
        accurate?  At what point have you ever seen government or
        corporations represent 100% accurate numbers?____

        __ __

        I'll let you do your own homework.  But I've seen hundreds of
        reports from all over the place of deaths of natural causes
        being classified as covid deaths.  Since most patients have
        existing conditions and many were already dying and died of
        those conditions (heart attack, cancer etc)  are being
        attributed to covid.  Some people have estimated that upward of
        20% misrepresented.  So as long as there is 1 case that is
        questionable - the statistics are not accurate. ____

        __ __

-- Steven Kenney
        Network Operations Manager
        WaveDirect Telecommunications
        http://www.wavedirect.net
        (519)737-WAVE (9283)____

        __ __

        ------------------------------------------------------------------------

        *From: *"Bill Prince" <part15...@gmail.com>
        <mailto:part15...@gmail.com>
        *To: *"af" <af@af.afmug.com> <mailto:af@af.afmug.com>
        *Sent: *Monday, May 4, 2020 2:04:16 PM
        *Subject: *Re: [AFMUG] OT Is this good?____

        __ __

        The numbers are not "completely" false, but it's the best we can
        do when we don't actually test all the suspected infections. It
        also (probably) missed a whole lot of the early deaths, as they
        were miss-classified. If you think under-ground near-do-wells
        are planted in all the hospitals around the country and are
        coordinating false numbers on all the rest of us, then I have a
        tin hat that might fit real well.____

        __ __

        bp____

        <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>____

        __ __

        On 5/4/2020 10:48 AM, Steven Kenney wrote:____

            Numbers are completely false.  Even with that taken into
            regard it still is just as lethal as the regular flu.  While
            it is way more harsh on people if they get it, most people
            have underlying conditions, or didn't know they had them, or
            didn't take it serious when they got it. ____

            __ __

            Unfortunately politicians never waste a crisis to further
            their agenda. ____

            __ __

-- Steven Kenney
            Network Operations Manager
            WaveDirect Telecommunications
            http://www.wavedirect.net
            (519)737-WAVE (9283)____

            __ __

            
------------------------------------------------------------------------

            *From: *"chuck" <ch...@wbmfg.com> <mailto:ch...@wbmfg.com>
            *To: *"af" <af@af.afmug.com> <mailto:af@af.afmug.com>
            *Sent: *Monday, May 4, 2020 12:30:08 PM
            *Subject: *[AFMUG] OT Is this good?____

            __ __

            image____

            ____

Every time I get my hopes up this curve breaks my heart... Let’s hope we are on the tail of a normal curve. ____

            6 days in a row decline.  But it has done this cycle 3 times
            before with a huge spike after. ____


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