Do you do a short or long position.
Short would be to kill all the little pigs in the assembly line now and shut it 
down.  Save the adults for the hope you can sell them.
Long would be kill the adults and keep the assembly line moving.  

Glad I don’t have to do that coin toss.  I think long is the way to go.  

From: Lewis Bergman 
Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 2:46 PM
To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group 
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan

I won't claim to know a lot about any ag business but that doesn't make sense. 
A full grown animal represents a lot of money in feed. Killing grown stock to 
make room for growing stock means you are putting more money into feed, 
antibiotics, etc, along with associuated loss percentages. Full grown loss is 
less than juvenile loss. Maybe your right, that just isn't the way the cattle 
business works. Of course maybe the gestational cycle and time difference to 
adulthood makes a difference.  

I just know every pound on an animal represents cost so if you are going to 
kill something, kill the unproven babies before they cost you more money.

On Wed, Apr 29, 2020 at 3:42 PM <ch...@wbmfg.com> wrote:

  Costs money to feed and take care of them.  They have younger ones coming up 
through the assembly line that needs the space.  

  From: Adam Moffett 
  Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 2:35 PM
  To: af@af.afmug.com 
  Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan

  Dumb question, but why would they slaughter them if they can't sell them?


  On 4/29/2020 3:58 PM, David Coudron wrote:

    And so it starts…… ☹  (it might have been happening a while already)



    The attached picture is from South Dakota as I understand it, but will be 
happening in many locations across the Midwest as large producers deal with the 
fact that there is no one buying finished hogs.   Taking this much meat out of 
the supply chain is certain to show up as shortages in grocery stores.



    Tough to see.



    Regards,



    David Coudron



    From: AF mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com On Behalf Of James Howard
    Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 2:01 PM
    To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' mailto:af@af.afmug.com
    Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



    The one I wanted to go to was Hoesly’s Meats in New Glarus.  I’m not sure 
where we’ll go now.  It looks like there are several around the Monroe area 
though so maybe I’ll check out one of those.  I’m waiting to hear back from our 
4H club’s Beef leader since he knows all the options around here I guess.



    From: AF [mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com] On Behalf Of Mike Hammett
    Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 12:48 PM
    To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com>
    Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



    Sorry, I meant the butcher. We've used some in southern Wisconsin when our 
primary (Eickman's in Seward) was booked up.



    -----
    Mike Hammett
    Intelligent Computing Solutions

    Midwest Internet Exchange

    The Brothers WISP






----------------------------------------------------------------------------

    From: "James Howard" <ja...@litewire.net>
    To: "AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group" <af@af.afmug.com>
    Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 12:43:51 PM
    Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan

    For shows?  Just our local county fair.  “Show” feed is about double the 
price of “normal” feed and in the case of pigs, you have to pay more for a 80lb 
show pig than it’s worth for meat at 300lbs……



    From: AF [mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com] On Behalf Of Mike Hammett
    Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 10:53 AM
    To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com>
    Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



    Where do you go to?



    -----
    Mike Hammett
    Intelligent Computing Solutions

    Midwest Internet Exchange

    The Brothers WISP






----------------------------------------------------------------------------

    From: "James Howard" <ja...@litewire.net>
    To: "AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group" <af@af.afmug.com>
    Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 10:38:09 AM
    Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan

    I’ve got two show steers that we need to get scheduled for the butcher shop 
in August.  The place that I’d like to take them 15 minutes from me says 
they’re booked through summer of 2021.  I think they’re usually booked 4-6 
months out but this is far past that.  I’ve heard that others are starting to 
get that way too.  IF we are able to have a fair, I don’t need to worry about 
the pigs since we can’t bring them home from the fair anyway so they go 
straight to the butcher from there but if that’s cancelled then I have 3 of 
those to figure out too.



    I keep feeling like Lloyd Bridges in Airplane.   I picked a BAD year to let 
the kids start showing steers…..  (for anyone not familiar with 4H, raising and 
showing steers and pigs at the county fair is NOT a money making venture)



    From: AF [mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com] On Behalf Of Steve Jones
    Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 10:24 AM
    To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com>
    Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



    Time to get a new butcher, unless its a one man shop. Our 2 meat shops are 
2 weeks out on packages. Like they always have been. 



    On Wed, Apr 29, 2020 at 9:39 AM Steven Kenney <st...@wavedirect.org> wrote:

      Time to get your hunting attire out.  



      -- 
      Steven Kenney
      Network Operations Manager
      WaveDirect Telecommunications
      http://www.wavedirect.net
      (519)737-WAVE (9283)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------

      From: "Mike Hammett" <af...@ics-il.net>
      To: "af" <af@af.afmug.com>
      Sent: Wednesday, April 29, 2020 9:15:10 AM
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



      Just saw on FB that the butcher we use is booked up through the rest of 
the year and aren't taking 2021 appointments until June 1st.



      -----
      Mike Hammett
      Intelligent Computing Solutions

      Midwest Internet Exchange

      The Brothers WISP






--------------------------------------------------------------------------

      From: "Ken Hohhof" <af...@kwisp.com>
      To: "AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group" <af@af.afmug.com>
      Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 6:34:16 PM
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan

      I recently bought some halal chicken thighs at the grocery store.  They 
were actually quite good, maybe a little larger than the typical Tyson or 
Perdue ones, but more skillfully trimmed.



      I suppose there’s no such thing as halal pork, though.





      From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Mike Hammett
      Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 6:18 PM
      To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com>
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



      Our farm recently started to put on a more public-facing presence. It was 
slow going at first, but man has it really picked up speed now. If we can keep 
1/2 of the people coming back in a year, we'll be doing great. People are 
loving the product. Five star Facebook reviews have been coming in.





      But yeah, the local butchers to turn the animal into meat were already 
backed up.



      -----
      Mike Hammett
      Intelligent Computing Solutions

      Midwest Internet Exchange

      The Brothers WISP






--------------------------------------------------------------------------

      From: "David Coudron" <david.coud...@advantenon.com>
      To: "AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group" <af@af.afmug.com>
      Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 6:09:15 PM
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan

      I think what he is referring to is that there is an over abundance of the 
product available to manufacture/distribute.    I grew up as a farm kid and 
when we were young, every farmer had pigs, beef cattle (we called them feeder 
cattle) and dairy.   Now, it has all moved to highly efficient, large 
operations.   Most farmers can’t make any money as a small dairy or hog 
operation, and it is way too much work for what you can make.  So everything 
consolidated into large, efficient operations.    As many know, they have been 
dumping milk because they have to milk the cows, they cannot skip a rotation or 
the cows get infections (mastitis).   Same with the large pig operations.   
They have pigs that are mature and have to moved out of the feed 
lots/buildings.   This is due to the cost of continuing to feed them, and the 
need to make room for the smaller ones that are coming in regardless.   So next 
week back where I grew up, they are starting to shoot the pigs, and they’ll 
have to bury them.  So what is going to happen is that we will be killing pigs 
and burying them, but there will be no meat on the shelves because of the meat 
packing plant issue.   I supposed it is more accurately called manufacturing 
rather than distribution, however, I might argue feed and water are the raw 
materials and the growing/finishing is the manufacturing, it is the long pole 
in the tent for timing.   Meat packing is a pretty short time period and it is 
probably manufacturing, but only the tail end of it.   It takes 6-9 months to 
grow a hog to slaughter weight, and 3-5 days to get it to your table.  



      I am not commenting on whether his comments are right or wrong, but my 
wager is that in two weeks meat will be the next toilet paper if it isn’t 
already.   As you said, I am not sure how well that will work to force them to 
stay open, but things are going to get very nuts of we have 3-4 weeks of most 
meat packing plants being closed.  Of course most of the issue will be 
over-reaction like the toilet paper thing.   



      Really sad to see farmers have to destroy finished hogs and stores with 
no meat in them.   But, like the sheetrock shortage 20 years ago, the 
antifreeze shortage 15 years ago, the LCD screen shortage (whenever that was ) 
these highly consolidated, highly efficient, low margin supply chains don’t 
deal with disruption very well.  Not really anyone’s fault, but tough to see.



      Regards,  



      David Coudron

      david.coud...@advantenon.com |  Mobile: 612-991-7474



      Advantenon, Inc.           

      i...@advantenon.com |  3500 Vicksburg Lane N, Suite 315, Plymouth, MN 
55447 |  www.advantenon.com |  Phone: 800-704-4720 |  Local: 612-454-1545 







      From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Ken Hohhof
      Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 5:47 PM
      To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' <af@af.afmug.com>
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



      So I was out all day today actually doing work, and now that I’m home I 
see this:

      
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/trump-plans-to-order-meat-processing-plants-to-stay-open-during-coronavirus/ar-BB13kBRq



      I have no f’ing idea how that’s gonna play out.



      Also the article quotes him as saying there’s plenty of supply, it’s a 
distribution problem.  I have to suspect the reporting got it wrong and he was 
talking about milk or green beans or potatoes.  Because I would not refer to a 
slaughterhouse as “distribution”.



      On a semi related note, with all the ethanol plants shutting down because 
gas sales are down, why can I still not buy Purell?  We should be swimming in 
ethanol.



      From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Mathew Howard
      Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 5:11 PM
      To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com>
      Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



      "long pig" is different than ordinary pig... 



      On Tue, Apr 28, 2020, 4:26 PM James Howard <ja...@litewire.net> wrote:

        Since when have pigs not been people?



        From: AF [mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com] On Behalf Of Ken Hohhof
        Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 2:57 PM
        To: 'AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group' <af@af.afmug.com>
        Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



        I’m waiting for someone to start a Soylent Green conspiracy theory 
about why there are thousands of infections at meat packing plants but we don’t 
hear about lots of deaths.



        Chuck is safe, though.  His Vienna Sausages are new old stock.  Made 
the old fashioned way, from snouts and feet and tails and everything but the 
squeal.  But at least they’re not people!



        From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Steve Jones
        Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 1:08 PM
        To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com>
        Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



        when my dad was in korea during vietnam, he didnt question the source 
of the "beef". but then again, he also drank booze that was made in a pit in 
the ground that you had to strain the squiggly live things out of. So im pretty 
sure a dog or cat with the kimchi wasnt any isue 



        On Tue, Apr 28, 2020 at 12:54 PM Steven Kenney <st...@wavedirect.org> 
wrote:

          I've seen some things in China that would scar you for life what they 
do to dogs/cats/animals.  I guess when you are hungry you'll do anything.  Used 
to think it was cliche or just a joke about over there.  Its not.  



          -- 
          Steven Kenney
          Network Operations Manager
          WaveDirect Telecommunications
          http://www.wavedirect.net
          (519)737-WAVE (9283)




----------------------------------------------------------------------

          From: "James Howard" <ja...@litewire.net>
          To: "af" <af@af.afmug.com>
          Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 12:07:41 PM
          Subject: Re: [AFMUG] What Really Happened in Wuhan



          So you’re saying the cat should have been pictured sitting in a lunch 
box?



          From: AF [mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com] On Behalf Of Steven Kenney
          Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 10:53 AM
          To: af <af@af.afmug.com>
          Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT: What Really Happened in Wuhan



          I don't think they keep cats as pets......



          -- 
          Steven Kenney
          Network Operations Manager
          WaveDirect Telecommunications
          http://www.wavedirect.net
          (519)737-WAVE (9283)




----------------------------------------------------------------------

          From: "Bill Prince" <part15...@gmail.com>
          To: "af" <af@af.afmug.com>
          Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 10:59:59 AM
          Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT: What Really Happened in Wuhan



          and Facebook will publish a thousand variations.

bp<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com> On 4/28/2020 7:47 AM, Steve Jones wrote:

            google will remove this truth from the internet



            On Tue, Apr 28, 2020 at 9:39 AM Ken Hohhof <af...@kwisp.com> wrote:

              Yes!



              From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Mike Hammett
              Sent: Tuesday, April 28, 2020 8:53 AM
              To: af@af.afmug.com
              Subject: [AFMUG] OT: What Really Happened in Wuhan







              -----
              Mike Hammett
              Intelligent Computing Solutions

              Midwest Internet Exchange

              The Brothers WISP





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325-439-0533 Cell


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