“keeping housewives occupied and less nervous”

Really?  You’re aware this is 2020, right?

> On Apr 25, 2020, at 8:18 PM, Steve Jones <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> wrote:
> 
> 
> You asked
> 
> What was recomended by the White House. Regional opening with result driven 
> response. (Without rhetoric, example, my county TRIPLED its cases over the 
> weekend. It went from 1 to 3, the 2 new ones are related, so the increase is 
> pretty irrelevant.) Tracing is more important than testing. That's just a 
> matter of fact, testing is a slice in time, you can be infected, and test 
> negative if you were recently infected, you can get infected at a test site. 
> You can test positive from an environmental exposure without having actually 
> caught it. It's like MRSA of the nairs. 
> 
> Once identified, the tracing leads back to likely hotspots. I'd personally 
> put the bulk of the funding into tracing. Use every bit of data volunteered. 
> Particularly request the tracking data from mobile devices. If its 
> volunteered, you have a map. If they dont, well, you work with what you have.
> "Testing" is a tool of politics. The only way to effectively test would be 
> real time monitoring. Which A. Doesnt exist and B. Wouldn't be feasible.
> 
> The governors each now have in their possession the location of every single 
> test processing facility in the nation. So what little relevance testing 
> actually plays in management is their responsibility to delegate 
> coordination. So it's a moot issue.
> 
> Any location exposed in tracing gets a mandatory scrub scrub (to be honest, I 
> dont understand any public venue that wouldn't be surface decontaminating 
> once ever 24 hours minimum anyway, there's no shortage of killitol level 
> disinfectants)
> 
> I think the mandatory face covering is nonsense. If it were mandatory rated 
> filtration masks that would be different. 
> But there isnt a production capacity for that on the entire planet. But since 
> it makes people feel like they're doing something, I'm all for it. Placebo is 
> actually a powerful medication for much of what ails society. Plus the 
> homemade masks are keeping housewives occupied and less nervous. That 
> actually matters.
> 
> Occasionally a tracing may require a mandatory compensated closure. Example 
> being a county here in illinois that has a processor who has over 20 
> employees infected, they're still operational. There is autonomy and 
> constitutional rights, and then there is stupidity and a true public health 
> risk. That falls under the latter and should be closed pending 
> decontamination.
> 
> A forcible closure, from a document able and legitimate public health risk 
> should require medical screening of all staff/administration prior to 
> resuming activities. There is no shortage of available healthcare 
> practitioners right now, so depts of public health can contract that . Once 
> again, the focus should be on tracing. Heavily funded tracing. "Patient zero" 
> in the above mentioned case has probably long since recovered. Tracing is 
> where they are identified, as theyll test negative now. Cases like this are 
> where antibody testing should be prioritized, assuming there is consent.
> 
> Tracing
> 
> The same applies to public venues. If tracing identifies probable 
> contamination, the venue scrubs. Applicable staff are cleared, tracing, 
> tracing tracing. Video surveillance has a huge role where it is voluntarily 
> submitted. Voluntarily being key and subjective, since it will be a whole lot 
> quicker to  clear a location of all tracing resources are made readily 
> available. Call it extortion if you want, it is what it is, and it is a tool.
> 
> Metrics must be clearly defined. If two people happenned to have been in the 
> same place, it doesnt need to necessarily be shut down. But the threshold 
> must be clearly defined. We have very little that is clearly defined. That 
> has a whole lot to do with the defiance. Selling seeds being a prime example, 
> at no point did illinois shut that down, yet places cordoned them off and 
> facebook images went nuts. This is literally the same thing that cause the 
> rapid spread in the US, images of empty shelves. Many of the people 
> protesting still dont know that nurseries and greenhouses were specifically 
> deemed essential last week, but that's why they're there. Clearly define 
> everything, on the state and county websites. Accurate information is 
> critical. That and tracing.
> 
> Define regional thresholds for stages of opening. If a region declines, shut 
> it down. If a region does well, progress the stages. Exactly as the feds 
> recommend. 
> 
> Define and justify every single essential and non essential industry. With a 
> mandatory state clarification within 24 hours of a designation request. 
> Justify being key. And publicly accessible designations. This would be fluid 
> and ongoing. 
> 
> Leisure activities need designations. Nuclear family needs clarification. As 
> it reads, I cant take my family fishing in illinois because the designated 
> limit is 2. This will get police in situations with bad outcomes because 
> nobody bothered to clarify.
> 
> If a region's medical resources are verifiably and documented to be taxed to 
> a predefined and clearly defined level, then ease back on the stages, all the 
> way to lockdown if need be. But media reports and public opinion arent the 
> metrics. The staffing levels and documented patient loads define that.
> 
> 
> I can continue 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> On Sat, Apr 25, 2020, 9:01 PM Chuck Macenski <ch...@macenski.com> wrote:
>> Would you please articulate specifically "what is right" in this situation? 
>> I am asking for your non-political opinion of the most constructive way 
>> forward. 
>> 
>> On Sat, Apr 25, 2020 at 8:24 PM Steve Jones <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> 
>> wrote:
>>> I sit back and watch as people contradict their own statements. "Its going 
>>> to be here like this for years" "tests are growing, as is the number" "it's 
>>> been here longer than we think" "it hasn't peaked because muh testing" 
>>> "it's going to be worse in fall" "mitigation has had a major impact" 
>>> The best is regarding the medication mien fuehrer  liked. "Its only 
>>> anecdotal" "a tiny group had a negative outcome, thisnis the gold standard 
>>> and this drug must be banned"
>>> 
>>> I live in a state where our governor is in a pissing contest with the White 
>>> House, but doing pretty much what the White House recommends, with the 
>>> exception of looking at things by region. We only have two regions, 
>>> chicago, and people who voted for the current president at 1600. So the 
>>> whole of downstate will be punished for not voting the right way. When 
>>> asked about the data, for the "science" behind this, we were told the state 
>>> doesnt own the data, so we cant see it.
>>> 
>>> I'm part of a foster parent group. One of the fosters is utterly destroyed 
>>> right now. Her prior ward, that she stayed in contact with died 3 days ago 
>>> at 15. He had returned home, but went back into the system during this (our 
>>> state, in its infinite wisdom has effectively shut down the foster support 
>>> system, non essential and all) he couldn't come back to her because she is 
>>> at capacity. He had cancer and was in a drug trial. He had been thriving. 
>>> The governors orders didnt allow for him to get access to the trial 
>>> resources, so he lost his trial spot, as is the nature of trials. There 
>>> were no resources available to get him into a linear treatment. 3 days ago 
>>> he succumbed to the complication. While anecdotal, this is exactly what the 
>>> cure being worse than the disease looks like. Granted, the speed at which 
>>> he declined from thriving to dead indicates underlying issues, the chicago 
>>> emperors orders made certain there were no resources. Right now, thanks to 
>>> the emperors orders, there are approximately zero resources available to 
>>> the foster families. Anticipate a whole lot of negative outcomes. 
>>> 
>>> Point is, everybody is more concerned about proving how wrong their 
>>> political enemy is, that nobody is even actually looking for what is right. 
>>> 
>>> Thankfully mother nature doesnt care and this will, like all ailments of 
>>> proximity, diminish in the next week or so.
>>> 
>>> On Sat, Apr 25, 2020, 5:48 PM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>> Just listened (in part) to a discussion about COVID-19 as it regards 
>>>> China/US relations. It is a discussion between Dubner, Michèle Flournoy ( 
>>>> former undersecretary of defense and co-founder of strategic-advisory firm 
>>>> WestExec.), and Michael Auslin (historian at Stanford University’s Hoover 
>>>> Institution). 
>>>> 
>>>> Within the discussion Auslin asserts that the death toll within Wuhan 
>>>> alone was between 45 and 47 thousand; at least 10X what they have reported 
>>>> through official channels. He gets his data through croudsourcing 
>>>> crematoria activity and the number of people picking up urns of deceased 
>>>> family members.
>>>> 
>>>> If you don't have time to listen to this, it is at least worth a read of 
>>>> the transcript.
>>>> 
>>>> https://freakonomics.com/podcast/covid-19-china/
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> 
>>>> bp
>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>> 
>>>> On 4/25/2020 3:11 PM, Jaime Solorza wrote:
>>>>> This virus doesn't care if you are a Republican, a Democrat, an 
>>>>> Independent, agnostic, religious or an atheist...if it gets you it might 
>>>>> kill you...
>>>>> Stay smart, listen to doctors and scientists....not ineptus maximus 
>>>>> politicians. 
>>>>> 
>>>>> On Sat, Apr 25, 2020, 12:45 PM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>>>> As we test more, we are undoubtedly going to find more cases that were 
>>>>>> previously going undetected (asymptomatic infection). This is a long way 
>>>>>> from over. The other thing we have not come to grips with is the uneven 
>>>>>> spread/mitigation. 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> There was an interesting graphic for the state of California showing the 
>>>>>> state as a whole versus just the Bay Area (Mercury News this morning). 
>>>>>> The 7 counties around the bay instituted shelter in place very early, 
>>>>>> and it's beginning to show in the statistics. The Bay Area accounts for 
>>>>>> almost 18% of the entire state population (7 of the 40 million).
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> bp
>>>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>>> 
>>>>>> On 4/25/2020 8:45 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>>  
>>>>>>> Might be Chebyshev BPF though... hopefully...Bessell. 
>>>>>>> Hopefully not high pass...
>>>>>>> 
>>>>>>> 
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