Here is the latest column from Gibbs:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/markgibbs/2013/05/30/rossis-a-fraud-no-hes-not-yes-he-is-no-he-isnt/


This is pretty good, but it includes a profound misunderstanding of the
scientific method. Gibbs quoted someone and wrote:

Cold fusion has no definitive theory – as yet, but the experimental
evidence is overwhelming: anomalous heat and transmutations can occur
within metallic-hydrides systems contained in small cells that sit on a
table-top

Unfortunately that’s not a sound argument … in fact, it’s not really an
argument at all; it merely hand waves away the science.

That is completely wrong. In experimental science you never need to explain
how something works in order to confirm it is real. You just need to
replicate it and show there is no error in the instruments or techniques.
This is *not* hand waving. If it were, no one would accept that high
temperature superconductivity exists. Before 1952, no one would have
believed that cells reproduce, and before 1939, no one would have believed
that the sun is undergoing a nuclear reaction.

In science, nearly all discoveries begin when researchers first detect and
then confirm an anomaly. That is, something that cannot be explained by
theory. A theory is then developed or modified to explain the anomaly. You
can never reject an anomaly because it seems to violate theory. When theory
and replicated experiments conflict, the experiments always win, theory
always loses. If we abandon this rule, or if we call it "hand waving" as
Gibbs does here, progress in science will come to a halt.

- Jed

Reply via email to