On 11/2/07, Abhijit Menon-Sen <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> At 2007-11-02 10:11:50 -0700, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> >
> > Also, if these one-way functions were like MD5 or SHA-1 algorithms, I
> > should be able to take 2 people who have had similar lives (socially,
> > economically, etc.) for the last couple of years and be able to say
> > that they were born very very close to each other in time.
>
> The MD5 hashes of two very similar texts may be completely dissimilar,
> and two similar MD5 hashes say nothing about similarities in the text
> they are hashes of.
>
> (I'm sorry I brought up one-way functions in this context.)

No no. It's quite relevant. If the one way function of astrology is
similar to a non-reversable hash in that a tiny difference in birth
time can completely change the course of your life, then astrology
requires a precision in determining the birth time that most people
simply do not have (and even then is subject to the uncertainties
brought up elsewhere in this thread.)

If the "hash" is actually fuzzy enough that a difference in a few
minutes either way will not affect the larger events in your life,
then you should be able to roughly determine the time of birth from
the events in someone's life. I.e. "if you were born in the first half
of the year, then you should have had a major medical event in the
last half of your 13th year, but if you were born in the last half of
the year, you would not."

If astrology makes testable predictions, those predictions should run
both directions, unless the "hash" is unreversable - in which case
astrology would be useless for the vast majority of people who do not
know the precise instant of their birth.

As for keeping an "open mind" that's exactly what I'm trying to do. If
you accept the hypothesis that astrology is exactly what it claims it
is, that implies certain consequences and generates testable
conclusions. If those tests are borne out, that is evidence for
astrology.

Of course the converse is also true - if you have an open mind about
the possible falsity of astrology, failing those tests would be
evidence that astrology's claims are unfounded.

An open mind works both ways. I am simply suggesting ways that
Astrology's claims could be tested empirically and objectively.

-- Charles

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