See
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/255569778_Actual_Causes_and_Thought_Experiments
For details
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Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM
On Thu, Oct 31, 2024, 12:29 PM Frank Wimberly wrote:
> Some of you know that in my last position a
Since we're talking about Sabine and anastomosis, I found this video
interesting"
This Theory of Everything Could Actually Work: Wolfram’s Hypergraphs
https://youtu.be/-yzdjziS-bo?si=w5av9XcTUqjodJ5V
"The idea that the laws of physics are a sort of computation has a rather basic
problem. It's
No, he is not a skilled negotiator at all. This is a myth, isn't it? He has no
patience for long and complicated negotiations. He basically acts like a bully
who demands loyalty, as James Comey reported. He is only good at lying and
cheating and hiding that he cheated (which is the reason why he
Some of you know that in my last position at Carnegie Mellon I was working
on causal reasoning. We made a distinction between probabilistic causation
(smoking causes cancer) and actual causation (dropping the bottle caused it
to break). In the former case we used graphical models, specifically
pa
By the way when I said "simple directed graphs" above I should have said
"Boolean networks".
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Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM
On Thu, Oct 31, 2024, 12:32 PM Frank Wimberly wrote:
> See
>
>
> https://www.researchgate.net/publication/2555697
two things:
1) It is kind of nonsensical to think of any kind of "evolution from
egalitarianism to leadership and despotism." The notion of 'egalitarianism'
never occurred to European thinkers until the 15-16th century when explorers
discovered some Native American societies that exhibited this
EricS wrote:
On 10/31/24 5:07 AM, Santafe wrote:
...
The voting block that can cause the calamity is certainly a coalition of
non-identical groups. If we think there are categories of Spontaneous Racists
and Stimulated Racists (to borrow a term from spectroscopy), the part of the
voting
An upside I could see of another Trump presidency is that economic productivity
in the United States would further consolidate. States and municipalities
would evolve more defensive mechanisms to preserve productivity and health of
its businesses and residents.Areas that did not, would con
The Case for Trump
I'm not suggesting that Trump is a model leader; he has many moral
shortcomings. And yes, if we view the U.S. President as the de facto leader
of the West, it's fair to ask: Can’t we do better? I also won’t debate
whether someone like Harris might make a better president. My poi
The model's interesting. The supplemental info can be found here:
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0263665
But it leaves me with a bit of an allergic reaction. Most of the variables (status, inequality parameter,
number of relationships). The proportion of status distributed, r, is an excep
There seems to be a strong consensus in this group that Trump does not have
a track record of being an effective negotiator, and his perceived bullying
only reinforces this view. So, contrary to what I previously suggested,
it’s not a separate issue.
This topic has come up in various threads, and
Jochen Fromm sed:
No, he is not a skilled negotiator at all.
Some people mistake (conflate?) bullying for "negotiating".
Musk is also a bully and I doubt anyone who has done business or tried
to maintain personal relationships with him (e.g. his children and
their mothers, etc) will not
"I know you believe you understand what I think I said but what you
heard is not what I meant"?
On 10/31/24 4:28 PM, glen wrote:
"you doubt anyone will not disagree". So if doubt+not transforms to,
say, "am confident", then we get "you are confident anyone will
disagree". Or if not+dis- cance
And what if he loses?
-. --- - / ...- .- .-.. .. -.. / -- --- .-. ... . / -.-. --- -.. .
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Marcus -
I totally defer to your brand of "morbid fascination". I have my own
deep streak but I think it is interrupted by a cross-cutting vein of
hopium-rich optimism. Your pithy "worst case/best case" ideations are
exquisite.
I will argue (against my own technophobic/neoLuddite nature)
Pieter Steenekamp wrote:
Isn't bullying and being a good negotiator two different things? One
could be a bully and also a skilled negotiator, right?
I'm not sure effective bullies bother to be particular effective at
other negotiation strategies, but there is no logical contradiction...
but is
To help prevent such a disaster, let's do our best to help people imagine
what the world would look like if Trump wins.
For example, Trump has said that one of his priorities would be to throw
off the occupying army of invading immigrants and criminals. Ask people to
think about how this occupying
The newspapers, and any number of writers, do a good job spelling all this out.
I have this frustrated feeling that doing this misses the point that is driving
the dynamic.
One of the good things that Paxton emphasizes about what drives fascist
movements from the ground up is the determined r
Isn't bullying and being a good negotiator two different things? One could
be a bully and also a skilled negotiator, right?
I'm not an expert on Trump, so some of my assumptions may be off. For
example, I assume Trump had a successful run as a property developer in New
York. To achieve that, it se
"you doubt anyone will not disagree". So if doubt+not transforms to, say, "am confident", then we get "you are confident anyone will
disagree". Or if not+dis- cancel out, then we get "you doubt anyone will agree". We could also do some more sophisticated algebra and transform
anyone+not into nob
If Trump had just invested the money he inherited in the S&P 500 he’d be
richer. Whether there will be a payout on Truth Social is unclear.
From: Friam On Behalf Of Pieter Steenekamp
Sent: Thursday, October 31, 2024 3:25 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject:
I land somewhere between y'all. An important part of good negotiation is being willing to
walk away from any deal. Since Trump doesn't care about anything but himself, he's
willing to let the entire world burn, willing to walk away from any deal. The story about
gaming the NYC code, that's not
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