Justin C. Walker wrote:
> 
> On Jan 8, 2008, at 4:31 PM, Ted Kosan wrote:
> 
>> Jaap wrote:
>>
>>>> With bandwidth and memory capacity increasing exponentially, this is
>>>> fast becoming a non-issue.
>>>>
>>> I've heard that before! But I don't believe this is the panacea!
>> The exponential growth of computing indicates that by 2020, a $1000
>> computer will have the same capacity as a human brain.  By 2050, a
>> $1000 computer will have the same capacity as all the human brains on
>> the planet.
> 
> You may be confusing capacity with capability :-}
> 
> Regardless of the capacity of whatever shows up in the morning, these  
> things will still be programmed by humans, who are notoriously  
> clueless about how the brain works.  That means that neither the  
> hardware nor the software will be any more efficient than they  
> currently are, and in addition, the software is being increasingly  
> developed by programmers who are relying on that capacity to cover up  
> for a real lack of talent and understanding.
> 
> That last isn't intended as a slight/insult.  I mean that more and  
> more people are getting hauled into the programming profession  
> without any real understanding of the job.  "Java is so simple a  
> child can use it" is something that (while hyperbole) product  
> development managers seem to believe. 

Java simple? Teaching experience tells me that learning java is only
possible under the condition that you know java!

[..]

Jaap


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