Am 06.02.2016 um 02:50 schrieb martin f krafft:
also sprach Daniel Lange <dl....@usrlocal.de> [2016-02-06 03:50 +1100]:
1.1) breakdown of these: # people sleeping at UCT {DebCamp | Debconf}
-> needs to be detailed later into individual days
We'll be telling UCT exact numbers for each night, right? So knowing
how many people plan to come isn't going to be helpful, unless we
are willing to guess the individual nights from a bell curve overlay
or so.
I think that would be the right thing to do unless we plan to
*close* registrations by early April to meet the 45 day deadline,
I think closing that early is unrealistic as we won't have the speaker
lineup, workshops/BoFs by then.
So we'd cut ourselves short of Debianites that are interested mostly in
the "conference" piece or people attracted to a specific workshop-topic
of the DebConf.
We need the peak occupancy for DebCamp and DebConf because this is what
we buy (and pre-pay) now.
This will be a f(pre-registered people). The bell curve is an attractive
cost-containment measure we need to calculate in April.
Because then we can still cancel beds we don't need on arrival and
departure days.
But as marga and you know who did the capacity estimations and
allocations for DC15,
it is a hell of work, needs somewhat sane data and there will still
always be an error margin.
How likely is it that the venue will fill up? Given the current
situation, I am inclined to reserve a smaller number and hope to book
additional beds as we require them.
Yes, that was the plan. The team meeting on 13.01.16 decided to reduce
the room allocation for DebConf 300->250 exactly for this reason. And
with 250 we still need allocations for both of Smuts and Fuller Halls.
Which increases the probability we can up the allocation still once we
have better numbers. But this way we have to pre-pay less and have less
of an issue with the (potential) refund (=cash in ZAR).
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