I think the error here is that the game outcome is not a normaly distributed random value.
Dmitry 30.03.2016, 12:57, "djhbrown ." <djhbr...@gmail.com>: > Simon wrote: "I was discussing the results with a colleague outside > of the Game AI area the other day when he raised > the question (which applies to nearly all sporting events, > given the small sample size involved) > of statistical significance - suggesting that on another week > the result might have been 4-1 to Lee Sedol." > > call me naive, but perhaps you could ask your colleague to calculate > the probability one of side winning 4 games out of 5, and then say > whether that is within 2 standard deviations of the norm. > > his suggestion is complete nonsense, regardless of the small sample > size. perhaps you could ask a statistician next time. > > -- > patient: "whenever i open my mouth, i get a shooting pain in my foot" > doctor: "fire!" > http://sites.google.com/site/djhbrown2/home > https://www.youtube.com/user/djhbrown > _______________________________________________ > Computer-go mailing list > Computer-go@computer-go.org > http://computer-go.org/mailman/listinfo/computer-go _______________________________________________ Computer-go mailing list Computer-go@computer-go.org http://computer-go.org/mailman/listinfo/computer-go
