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You are right, but from fig 2 of the paper can see, that mc and value
network should give similar results:

70% value network should be comparable to 60-65% MC winrate from this
paper, usually expected around move 140 in a "human expert game" (what
ever this means in this figure :)

Am 13.03.2016 um 12:48 schrieb Seo Sanghyeon:
> 2016-03-13 17:54 GMT+09:00 Darren Cook <dar...@dcook.org>:
>> From Demis Hassabis: When I say 'thought' and 'realisation' I
>> just mean the output of #AlphaGo value net. It was around 70% at
>> move 79 and then dived on move 87
>> 
>> https://twitter.com/demishassabis/status/708934687926804482
>> 
>> Assuming that is an MCTS estimate of winning probability, that
>> 70% sounds high (i.e. very confident);
> 
> That tweet says 70% is from value net, not from MCTS estimate.
> 
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