What is the most interesting part is, that at this point many pro
commentators found a lot of aji, but did not find a "solution" for Lee
Sedol that broke AlphaGos position. So the question remains: Did
AlphaGo find a hole in it's own position and tried to dodge that? Was
it too strong for its own good? Or was it a misevaluation due to the
immense amounts of aji, which would not result in harm, if played
properly?


2016-03-13 9:54 GMT+01:00 Darren Cook <dar...@dcook.org>:
> From Demis Hassabis:
>   When I say 'thought' and 'realisation' I just mean the output of
>   #AlphaGo value net. It was around 70% at move 79 and then dived
>   on move 87
>
>   https://twitter.com/demishassabis/status/708934687926804482
>
> Assuming that is an MCTS estimate of winning probability, that 70%
> sounds high (i.e. very confident); when I was doing the computer-human
> team experiments, on 9x9, with three MCTS programs, I generally knew I'd
> found a winning move when the percentages moved from the 48-52% range
> to, say, 55%.
>
> I really hope they reveal the win estimates for each move of the 5
> games. It will especially be interesting to then compare that to the
> other leading MCTS programs.
>
> Darren
>
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