It's hard to believe crazy stone is 7 stones stronger than mfgo.  I'd like
to see some handicap games to show this.  100 ELO might have some relation 1
handicap stone at low ratings, but at higher strengths, 1 stone handicap
must be a smaller ELO difference.
 
David

-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Edward de Grijs
Sent: Sunday, October 28, 2007 12:15 PM
To: computer-go
Subject: RE: [computer-go] 19x19 CGOS




If I combine some reactions so far I understand that 
the main motivation to have 30min/game or longer time 
controls is that that is more comparable to the pace of 
humans, and that is is more easy for some new 
programs (not MC based)
I can imagine that some humans will argue that blitz ratings 
are not to be trusted, but I think that they can be. For MC 
programs this only mean that they are about 1 or 2 stones 
weaker (at 10 min. instead of 30 min) in relation to (already 
fast) traditional programs. 
The resulting difference against humans I do not know.
If someone builds a different engine, (not MC) I can image 
that the time can be important, but only if the program needs 
that kind of time control.
For MC programs one have to realise that the difference 
between the best program and the average programs is 
about 8 stones or more, (a very rough estimation of mine). 
So the time control only accounts here for only about 2 stones, 
which will not help the new programs to perform much better.
Those large differences could be corrected by introducing 
handicap stones, but I realise that will not be easy to 
combine with an elo rating scale.
 
This brings me to the beginning of the newly started CGOS 19x19:
I thought one of the first goals was to get an impression 
between the strenght of MFGO and CrazyStone.
I do not see any discussions related to that, while it is very 
interesting what is happening (or has happened already)
Crazystone was about 2000 elo, mfgo is about 1800.
The CrazyStone row has dissapeared because not enough 
games were played, so there will be a larger standard 
deviation around those values (I expect a 1 sigma value of 
about 50 elo. It would be interesting to incluse those 
numbers on every row (Don?))
What I think is happening is that Crazystone seems to be 
about 7 stones (or more) stronger than MFGO at these time 
controls, when CrazyStone will use 6 cores or so (which Remi 
has used in the past).
How: Crazystone used about 3 minutes for each game, one 
using 1 cpu, so it has handicapped himself (maybe Remi is 
nice to David?). 
When using almost the full 30 minutes it will be about 3 stones 
or 300 elo stronger. Combined with 6 cores that will be another 
2 or 3 stones or 250 elo. 
So we are looking at Crazystone 2550 elo, MFGO 1800 elo
which roughly corresponds to 7 stones!
 

Just food for though, and my opinion and my rough estimates 
which will be erratic (with a certain deviation:-)
 
Edward
 
 


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