----- Original Message -----
From: "John D. Giorgis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Saturday, March 15, 2003 10:12 AM
Subject: Re: France's influence
-------Original Message-------
From: Dan Minette <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
As the leaders of the "contain the US alliance?" The only democracy that I
know of that favors attacking Iraq without a new specific Security Council
resolution authorizing it explicitly is the US. After we go in, probably
without GB, this will be a significant force. Rightly or wrongly,
many/most people will consider an unconstrained US as the biggest risk to
themselves.
********************************
I don't think that France is going to find too many people in the "contain
US alliance."
>According to recent reports, there are currently 47 nations in the
"coalition of the willing", who are providing >material support.
Unfortunately, I have not seen a listing of these nations anywhere (and
I've looked), but it >seems that the number may be inflated slightly.
I was talking about the opinion of people. In a January Gallup poll, the
last one I could find, the numbers were:
NO UN Yes ?
ARGENTINA 83 4 3 10
BOLIVIA 62 25 9 4
CANADA 36 46 10 8
COLOMBIA 54 25 15 6
ECUADOR 56 19 3 22
URUGUAY 79 10 9 2
USA 21 34 33 12
AUSTRALIA 27 56 12 5
HONG KONG 47 41 8 4
INDIA 59 29 8 4
MALAYSIA 45 12 3 40
NEW ZEALAND 32 52 8 8
PAKISTAN 60 16 3 21
CAMEROON 49 38 9 4
NIGERIA 51 35 10 4
KENYA 52 28 17 3
SOUTH AFRICA 63 20 9 8
UGANDA 44 27 20 9
DENMARK 45 38 10 7
FINLAND 44 37 6 13
FRANCE 60 27 7 6
GERMANY 50 39 9 2
IRELAND 39 50 8 3
LUXEMBOURG 59 34 5 2
NETHERLANDS 38 51 7 4
PORTUGAL 53 29 10 8
SPAIN 74 13 4 9
UK - North Ireland 41 39 10 10
ICELAND 49 36 7 8
SWITZERLAND 45 45 5 5
ALBANIA 53 36 7 4
BOSNIA & HERZEGOVINA 75 16 9 0
BULGARIA 59 28 5 8
ESTONIA 64 20 9 7
GEORGIA 69 18 9 4
MACEDONIA 76 13 4 7
ROMANIA 42 38 11 9
RUSSIA 59 23 7 11
YUGOSLAVIA 3 20 8 69
The US numbers have shifted towards going in without the UN, but the trend
polls that I have seen in other countries have indicated a firming up of
the opinion that they will approve of a war only with a UN mandate. I know
that Gautam is fairly optimistic that a quick US victory will change
opinions. I'm not so sanguine. I can see Tony Blair having to back off
involvement in the war because he could lose his job if he forces the
issue. I can see the Spanish government falling too if they support us too
strongly. I think France is playing this possibility for all its worth.
Dan M.
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