> ChatGPT is not AGI

Correct

and is unlikely to incrementally become AGI.


Probably wrong. This is a case of "Goertzel Syndrome": without Symbolic it
won't reach AGI. Newsflash: symbols are already here! Concept formation is
operational even in ChatGPT, CoT is planning, and MoE is what Ben called
Cognitive Synergy way back when.

I think it is going to be more than a few years. There are inherent
> serious flaws that are unlikely to be addressed.
>

All that's left are engineering problems. "Goal Discovery" is probably the
last milestone, With a trove of research to build on, and the hype it's
generated, it increasing looks like it'll be achieved before 2030.

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Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI
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