This is _optimistic_ Around April 15 for most everywhere in the US...
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections?fbclid=IwAR3m66Dc-PAE0or9wTv8ZmLRwf2Y5dLp0HaLXzUGYk_ZTkh555hZvRp1xjQ
On 3/28/20 8:45 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
With all of two deaths in Utah we are running a .4% death rate.
I am guessing the peak of deaths is 2 to 2.5 weeks away.
*From:* Bill Prince
*Sent:* Saturday, March 28, 2020 9:30 AM
*To:* af@af.afmug.com
*Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Virus graphics
This is another perspective referred to in this article called "Hammer
and Dance". It outlines what the various options and probable outcomes
might be. It does get into the weeds somewhat.
https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56
bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
On 3/28/2020 8:21 AM, ch...@wbmfg.com wrote:
This is an interesting article:
https://www.nationalgeographic.com/history/2020/03/how-cities-flattened-curve-1918-spanish-flu-pandemic-coronavirus/
Note the double boom if you relax your social distancing after the
initial peak is over.
Looks like 10-12 weeks of people dying. We are 2.5 weeks into that
cycle.
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