Yes, Jed you are right. You go to three experts and the one who gives the correct answer is the REAL expert. That is the problem in a nutshell - experts are often wrong even if they say they are experts and it is hard to see which one is THE expert. I assume you did not go to the two first experts even as you know they were less of an exper,t than the third one:)
Best Regards , Lennart Thornros [email protected] +1 916 436 1899 Whatever you vividly imagine, ardently desire, sincerely believe and enthusiastically act upon, must inevitably come to pass. (PJM) On Mon, Dec 14, 2015 at 3:19 PM, Jed Rothwell <[email protected]> wrote: > Eric Walker <[email protected]> wrote: > > >> >> > This is not to suggest that all experts are always right, but non-experts >>> are never right, and they cannot be right, even in principle. If they >>> happen to be right, it is a lucky guess. >>> >> >> This is complete nonsense. >> > > Obviously I mean with regard to complex technical subjects, such as global > warming or brain surgery. Or controlling robot explorers on Mars. > > Experts are often wrong about ordinary subjects, and subjects outside of > their own expertise. They can even be wrong about their own fields, but > logically that means they are not actually experts. > > Anyone can judge an expert by looking at results. Over the last few months > I have had an itching rash. I consulted with two doctors, and followed > their advice, but it did not get better. Obviously they are not experts on > that particular problem. I went to third doctor. The treatment he > recommended seems to be working, so I guess he is an expert after all. Or > he made a lucky guess. I can't judge. > > - Jed > >
