Thibault Nélis writes:

In any case, I'd be happy to talk about all this in a year or two, when we'll have more information than speculations.

(Don't worry I'm not offended or anything, I'm just saying we don't know jack yet.)

Not really. We do know a lot, actually. There are plenty of historical facts that are available at our collective disposal. This is one of those cases where, based on past events, it's possible to have a fairly high level of confidence for how things will play out in the future.

Those who do not learn from history, are doomed to repeat it.

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