The first excellent climate change movie. The writers were so smart
substituting a comet for global warming. Much faster--and even so no one
was ready! They know we're doomed, and they nailed the reasons why.
On Fri, Jan 7, 2022 at 8:40 PM Frank Wimberly wrote:
> The film "Don't Look Up" came
"The Omicron surge does not allow time for the robust, comprehensive and fully
inclusive
community and clinician engagement needed to establish a more permanent triage
tool for
Oregon hospitals."
"Care decisions should be based upon the likelihood of survival to hospital
discharge."
https://sh
The film "Don't Look Up" came up in this morning's meeting. We saw it this
evening. I now see it was mentioned. It's outstanding in my opinion.
Frank
---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM
.-- .- -. - / .- -.-. - .. --- -. ..--.. / -.-. --- -.
Eric,
Teddy Seidenfeld and Clark Glymour know each other *very* well. There is
no chance that the Similarity of titles is coincidental.
Frank
---
Frank C. Wimberly
140 Calle Ojo Feliz,
Santa Fe, NM 87505
505 670-9918
Santa Fe, NM
On Fri, Jan 7, 2022, 6:20 PM David Eric Smith wrote:
> The
Yes, reality is too complex to use just one model. More then one model is
probably useful. Maybe also dynamical systems and/or replicator equations which
are often used to describe evolutionary systems.Robinson and Acemoglu argue in
their book "Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy" tha
< I'm muddled in the middle, enjoying having friends who are
much more experimental in those domains than I ever will be while also
wincing at some of the self/other harm that seems to go with (at least
the) illegal substances/activities as well as wincing at all the
puritanical need to decide for
On 1/7/22 11:14 AM, glen wrote:
Thanks for that validation. I think SteveS' conception is rooted in
the US' typical puritanical approach to everything. I admit I'm
ignorant of the history of HR. But my sense is that non-US regions
have a richer cultural approach to handling drugs. Even China,
Well, the social costs associated with debilitating addiction are mostly
unrelated to *death*. Actually the deaths of such people might *lower* the
social costs ... not to be morbid. HR doesn't target deaths. It targets quality
of life (of both the user and their support system) and bureaucrati
So, there are about 21 million people that are addicted to some sort of drug,
2.1 million that have an Opioid use disorder, and there are about 50k deaths a
year related to opioids. Maybe the death counts just aren't big enough to pay
attention to? (Putting this number in the context of, say,
I'll play! But I'd push not for *an* ABM, but a constellation of models, maybe
not all ABMs. The main reason is for parallax. But a side reason is to explore
the foundations of democracy. I just watched this talk (in celebration of World
Logic Day next Friday):
https://formalethics.org/sdm_dow
I’m in favor of what you describe, David. Good luck getting legislation in
the USA passed that would enable that. (sarcasm mode on) Speaking of the
word “enable”, I believe the pushback would be that such laws would be
enablers by decreasing the risk of taking drugs. The risk makes drugs less
appea
A good question. What is democracy and how can it turn into authoritarianism or
fascism? There are a number of good books about fascism, like "The Anatomy of
Fascism" from Robert Paxton, but as far as I know there is no agent-based model
how a democratic backsliding works in terms of agents, sys
Thanks for that validation. I think SteveS' conception is rooted in the US'
typical puritanical approach to everything. I admit I'm ignorant of the history
of HR. But my sense is that non-US regions have a richer cultural approach to
handling drugs. Even China, which we often ridicule as totali
Hm. My conception of HR seems completely orthogonal to yours. It
*enables* liberty and autonomy. But the way you're describing it,
"do-gooder", "interfere", "spirals", "homeostasis", etc., it sounds
like an attempt to *manipulate* the users.
Precisely, that was my point, it often manifests tha
glen is describing the actual situation in Europe. I went to a lot of events
where there was a table by the entrance where you could test the drugs
(including heroin and opioids that remain very illegal there) you would be
using at the event (and afterwords). This prevented both overdoses (you k
Hm. My conception of HR seems completely orthogonal to yours. It *enables* liberty and autonomy. But the way you're
describing it, "do-gooder", "interfere", "spirals", "homeostasis", etc., it
sounds like an attempt to *manipulate* the users.
It's nothing like that. By taking my street drug to s
On 1/7/22 7:01 AM, glen wrote:
.. And perhaps it's a manifestation of whatever
core physiology it is that binds the [ma|pa]ternal-individual
perspectives into a triangle. HR seems to cut a comfortable, practical
slice through the mess, much like what I imagine a steely-yet-kind
affect wou
As I read through your stories, I can't help but think of the "harm reduction" (HR) concept. There
was a decent, recent Skeptoid podcast on the decriminalization of drugs in Portugal. It talked a bit about
the difference between decriminalization and legalization. And that distinction seems to l
Who wrote a widely cited paper with the title Why I am Not a Bayesian.
"I have not found on the web any calculation of the probability that you
have covid given that you have just decided to take a home covid antigen
test and found a positive result. So I did a couple.
Abbott Laboratories Rapid
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