Hi,

The problem is actually not in the parameter estimation, but in the confidence 
interval computation using the profile-likelihood method.   This can be easily 
fixed, but the results may still be not sensible.  So, the best thing to do 
would be to use the "Wald" confidence interval instead of profile likelihood 
based CI.  Here is how you can do it:

sd.logr <- logistf(AgeRange ~ I(Age - mean(Age)), pl=FALSE, data=sd)  # this 
computes Wald C.I.

summary(sd.logr)


Hope this helps,
Ravi.

____________________________________________________________________

Ravi Varadhan, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor,
Division of Geriatric Medicine and Gerontology
School of Medicine
Johns Hopkins University

Ph. (410) 502-2619
email: rvarad...@jhmi.edu


----- Original Message -----
From: Ravi Varadhan <rvarad...@jhmi.edu>
Date: Tuesday, March 9, 2010 12:24 pm
Subject: Re: [R] penalized maximum likelihood estimation and logistf
To: xiaoyan yu <xiaoyan...@gmail.com>
Cc: r-help@r-project.org


>  Let us look at a piece of the relevant code from "logistf" package:
>  
>          iter <- iter + 1
>          XW2 <- crossprod(x, diag(pi * (1 - pi))^0.5)
>          Fisher <- crossprod(t(XW2))
>          covs <- solve(Fisher)
>          H <- crossprod(XW2, covs) %*% XW2
>          if (firth) 
>              U.star <- crossprod(x, y - pi + diag(H) * (0.5 - 
>                  pi))
>          else U.star <- crossprod(x, y - pi)
>          delta <- as.vector(covs %*% U.star)
>          mx <- max(abs(delta))/maxstep
>          if (mx > 1) 
>              delta <- delta/mx
>   
>  First, note that this is inside an iterative loop.  The Fisher 
> information matrix is first formed, and then it is inverted to get 
> `covs'.  This is where it can get troublesome.  It is very likely in 
> your case that the `Fisher' information matrix is ill-conditioned, and 
> hence `covs' cannot be computed.  Consequently, the steplength `delta' 
> for the Newton method cannot be determined. 
>  
>  
>  Ravi.
>  
>  ____________________________________________________________________
>  
>  Ravi Varadhan, Ph.D.
>  Assistant Professor,
>  Division of Geriatric Medicine and Gerontology
>  School of Medicine
>  Johns Hopkins University
>  
>  Ph. (410) 502-2619
>  email: rvarad...@jhmi.edu
>  
>  
>  ----- Original Message -----
>  From: xiaoyan yu <xiaoyan...@gmail.com>
>  Date: Tuesday, March 9, 2010 11:26 am
>  Subject: [R] penalized maximum likelihood estimation and logistf
>  To: r-help@r-project.org
>  
>  
>  > Hi, I got two questions and would really appreciate any help from here.
>  >  First, is the penalized maximum likelihood estimation(Firth Type 
> Estimation)
>  >  only fit for binary response (0,1 or TRUE, FALSE)? Can it be 
> applied 
>  > to
>  >  multinomial logistic regression?
>  >  If yes, what's the formula for LL and  U(beta_i)? Can someone 
> point 
>  > me to
>  >  the right reference?
>  >  Second, when I used *logistf *on a dataset with binary response, I 
> 
>  > got the
>  >  following error msg:
>  >  "Error in if (mx > 1) delta <- delta/mx :
>  >    missing value where TRUE/FALSE needed"
>  >  
>  >  What does this msg mean? does it mean the dataset includes missing 
> response?
>  >  I  checked my dataset several times and didn't find anything other 
> 
>  > than TRUE
>  >  or FALSE for the response. Please shed light on this.
>  >  
>  >  Thanks,
>  >  Xiaoyan
>  >  
>  >    [[alternative HTML version deleted]]
>  >  
>  >  ______________________________________________
>  >  R-help@r-project.org mailing list
>  >  
>  >  PLEASE do read the posting guide 
>  >  and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.
>  
>  ______________________________________________
>  R-help@r-project.org mailing list
>  
>  PLEASE do read the posting guide 
>  and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code.

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