>         You may be in a niche business where change happens slowly, but 
> you can't extrapolate that to the business world in general. The days of 
> dedicated desktop apps running on local hardware networks are numbered.

Yeah, kind of like in the 60s and 70s when everything was a dumb terminal 
connected to a mainframe...Oh, wait...!

There is nothing new under the sun, and way too much money can be made by 
simply changing things for the sake of changing things.

So dumb-terminal web browsers hooked to "mainframes" distributed over 
multiple machines in the cloud will have their heyday...and then somebody 
will realize that dependence on outside resources makes us vulnerable and 
sucks, and completely localized computing will once again be the brave new 
world, simply because it's not what's being done at the moment and people 
can be made to buy new stuff in order to do it.

There is far less rationality in this world than people think. Or, rather, 
the rationality that motivates everything is the rationality of increasing 
sales, not the rationality of the best way to do things.

Ken Dibble
www.stic-cil.org



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