Dear Cambridge philosophers of science,

Tomorrow, 7 February, is the third meeting of CamPoS for Lent, as
usual at 1 p.m. in the HPS department in seminar room 2 in the
basement.  Wolfgang Schwarz of Edinburgh University will be speaking on 
‘No Interpretation of Probability’.  An abstract is below.

Sincerely,
J. Brian Pitts


Abstract:

Many scientific theories involve probabilities. What would the world 
have to be like for such a theory to be true? I argue that none of the 
usual interpretations of probability provides a plausible answer.  
Instead, I suggest that we should not give probabilistic theories 
truth-conditional content at all. The aim of such theories is not to 
register facts about a special probabilistic quantity, but to capture 
noisy patterns in the world. I also explore some ramifications of this 
view for our knowledge of probabilities.


-- 
J. Brian Pitts
Senior Research Associate
Faculty of Philosophy
University of Cambridge
[email protected]

Ph.D., Philosophy/History & Philosophy of Science, University of Notre 
Dame
Ph.D., Physics, University of Texas at Austin


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