You may be right that OpenWRT is doomed, but we have seen time and time again
that OpenSource software is not a zero-sum game.
Yes, if OpenWRT does nothing, it will struggle, but that's unlikely to be the
case.
For that matter, even with no new manpower, OpenWRT could just copy everything
that LEDE does and still survive for a long time based on brand recognition
(after all, people are still downloading OpenOffice, and that hasn't even been
pulling improvements from LibreOffice)
There's no question that there is going to be disruption and a loss of progress
in the short term, but before you count either side out, let them stabilize, and
figure out what's really important to them going forward.
Revisit the question in 6-9 months and things will probably be much clearer.
Remember that the remaining OpenWRT folks haven't has weeks or months to plan
what to do at this point. It will take them time for them to figure out what's
going to end up happening. In the short term, they have to plug the holes and
figure out if anything critical needs to be done to keep the lights on. Only
after they are able to get past this short term crisis will they be able to
really think about the larger issues and figure out what to do about them.
And the LEDE folks have a lot of infrastructure to setup (and there will be a
lot of bikeshedding going on while they do this), so they are going to take some
time to get everything going and get a release out.
David Lang
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