Murah BELI Mahal Jual
On Dec 17, 2007 11:06 AM, agus halim <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Kalau minus segitu seminggu berturut2, berasa juga, hehehhe.. Anywan > index udah minus hampir seminggu.. it means... > > ----- Original Message ---- > From: Aa <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > Sent: Monday, December 17, 2007 10:39:39 AM > Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re:Bearish in mind? Well, the majority is > USUALLY wrong.. > > Minus cuma 1%-2% sih belum kerasa apa2.... > > > > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Dean Earwicker" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > To: <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> > Sent: Monday, December 17, 2007 10:16 AM > Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re:Bearish in mind? Well, the majority is > USUALLY wrong.. > > > Iya ya kecepetan postingnya..hehe... belum ada yang depresi kayanya... > > > Regards, > DE > > On Dec 17, 2007 9:13 AM, Veter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > Bung DE, > > > > Tenang aja ini masih masa denial, ada yang bilang turun, ada yang bilang > > tetap naik, ada yang bilang Cuma sebentar…..:), nanti kalo udah pada > > depresi > > baru sah bottomnya. Have a nice day > > > > > > > > Salam > > > > JV > > > > * * > > > > *Bearish in mind? Well, the majority is USUALLY wrong.. > > *< > http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/message/51818;_ylc=X3oDMTJyb2xhOWZmBF9TAzk3MzU5NzE1BGdycElkAzE2NTIzNTUEZ3Jwc3BJZAMxNzA1MDAxNzc5BG1zZ0lkAzUxODE4BHNlYwNkbXNnBHNsawN2bXNnBHN0aW1lAzExOTc4MjQxMzU- > > > > ** > > > > *Posted by: "Dean Earwicker" [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > <[EMAIL PROTECTED] > ?Subject=%20Re%3ABearish%20in%20mind%3F%20Well%2C%20the%20majority%20is%20USUALLY%20wrong%2E%2E> > > earwicker_dean <http://profiles.yahoo.com/earwicker_dean>* > > > > *Sun Dec 16, 2007 8:32 am (PST) * > > > > Bearish in mind? Good. I like when everybody think of bearish, because > > majority is usually *wrong*. You know, most of smart players out there > are > > good CONTRARIANS. > > > > Successful trader is the one who masters the *herding game.* Read the > > article below, and you'll understand what it's about. Read it real slow > > and > > carefully. > > * > > After you read the article below, get a piece of paper and a pencil, and > > write down THREE of the most HATED and LOVED stocks. Whatever you write, > > these stocks are supposed to be NOT ON YOUR PORTFOLIO. > > > > Why? > > > > Love and hate are personal and sentimental. When you get sentimental, > you > > will be irrational. When you get irrational, you lose. > > > > So go ahead, read the article :) > > * > > Regards, > > DE > > > > http://www.financialsense.com/Market/wood/2003/1024.html > > > > * > > "The Majority is Usually Wrong"* > > > > At first it may be difficult to accept such a statement as fact. So let > us > > pursue the subject a bit. Let us start by dividing the population of > this > > planet into two groups, the minority and the majority. > > > > It would seem that only a minority of the people on this planet have the > > ability and ambition to study hard, to figure out ways to accumulate > > wealth, > > and to raise their standard of living. The majority are apparently > unable > > or > > unwilling to acquire the knowledge and take the action which would > enable > > them to do the same. > > > > Another difficulty of the majority is the herd instinct which they > follow. > > The > > desire to go along with a large group is evident among people and > animals. > > This > > is caused by the idea that there is safety in numbers – to think and act > > like the majority of other people. Anyone who dares to be different from > > the > > crowd is not considered to be "normal." > > > > One of the big troubles with modern society is the conformity of ideas > and > > action. I call it the mediocrity of conformity. Many people are actually > > afraid to be different – to pursue unusual ideas. But the road to > success > > is > > paved with unusual ideas, and traveled by unusual people who dare to be > > different. In our modern society it frequently pays to be unusual and > > different. > > > > Another trouble with the majority is that they have a tendency to > believe > > what they are told, especially if something is repeated frequently. The > > majority find it is easier to accept the statements of others than to > > think > > for themselves. > > > > The minority, who do not believe what they are told, must put forth > > intensive effort in their search for truth and knowledge. Sometimes the > > quest for knowledge is like sailing on an uncharted sea with nothing to > > guide you except the facts you learn as you go along. The success of > your > > voyage depends on how well you can separate facts from fantasy, how well > > you > > can analyze the facts you discover, and how well you use them to reach > the > > right conclusions. > > > > In the stock market, the majority are inclined to believe what they are > > told > > in the form of tips, rumors and advice. The minority believe only what > > they > > know to be facts, and then reach their own conclusions by analyzing > those > > facts. > > > > Still another weakness of the majority is their disbelief in change. > Most > > people do not expect or prepare for changes in the status quo. They > > believe > > that things will continue indefinitely just as they are right now. When > > the > > stock market goes up, the majority expect it to continue going up > > indefinitely. They do not bother to think about the time when the market > > will change its course and turn downward. > > > > At the same time, the minority know that change is inevitable, and they > > are > > looking ahead, trying to figure how to tell when the market makes the > > change, and planning what actions they will take at that time. The > > minority > > know that every bull market has been followed by a bear market, and that > > every bear market had been followed by a bull market. The successful > > investor must possess a mind which is flexible enough to accept changing > > conditions. > > > > The majority of investors are almost paralyzed by their opinions, > because > > it > > is difficult to change an opinion which is well established. When a > person > > has a definite opinion, there is the danger that he might not be able to > > change it until too late to take the proper action. > > > > Almost everybody tries to form an opinion of the market. Many investors > > are > > constantly gathering information to help them form the correct opinion. > As > > the opinion forms, the investor subconsciously becomes more receptive to > > the > > ideas, which help to substantiate his opinion. > > > > There are always plenty of arguments for both sides of a case. Since the > > equal acceptance of arguments from both sides would result in > frustrating > > confusion, a person must choose which to accept. Frequently a person > > accepts the arguments which support his own opinion, and he ignores the > > opposite side of the case. It is human nature to do so. Many people > > actively consider and publicize only the arguments which will support > > their > > opinions. The process is called rationalization. > > > > The majority seem to have an uncanny ability to buy near the top of a > bull > > market, and sell near the bottom of a bear market. Apparently that is > the > > way things must be, otherwise who would the minority sell their stocks > to > > near the top – and who would they buy stocks from near the bottom? > > > > One should try to think and act like the minority, for there is little > > hope > > for the success of the majority. There is not enough room at the top for > > the > > majority. > > > > Realizing that the majority is usually wrong in their action near the > tops > > of bull markets and the bottoms of bear markets, I looked for ways to > > recognize majority action at those points I also looked for a way of > > timing > > the contrary action to be taken at those points. It would not be enough > > just > > to recognize when the majority was wrong. One must also recognize > exactly > > when the majority was wrong enough to take the contrary action. > > > > The words above are not mine. This was a quote from *The Haller Theory > of > > Stock Market Trends* 1965, by Gilbert Haller. Recently, I have been > > showing > > you a few charts on advancing volume and advancing issues. I referred to > > this as market fuel. Mr. Haller's work only recently became known to me > by > > one of my old time technical friends. He suggested that I read Mr. > > Haller's > > book. What I found in this book served to reinforce what I have been > > sharing with you over the last few weeks about the lack of confirmation > > from > > upside volume and advancing issues. As it turns out, Mr. Haller's work > was > > solidly based on the use of volume and advancing-declining issues. Mr. > > Haller used these indicators to show him when the market was under > > distribution as is now the case. My point here is that in spite of all > the > > hype from mainstream and popular public opinion the underlying volume > and > > advance-decline work is telling us something else and now does not > appear > > to > > be a time to be in alignment with the majority. Given that Mr. Haller's > > work was based on what I have recently been presenting to you as "Market > > Fuel" plus the fact that I currently have a contrary opinion on the > market > > I > > felt that the above quote was appropriate. I hope that you are able to > > find > > some value in it. > > > > > > > > > > > > + + > + + + + + > Mohon saat meREPLY posting, text dari posting lama dihapus > kecuali diperlukan agar CONTEXTnya jelas. > + + + + + > + + > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > Send instant messages to your online friends http://uk.messenger.yahoo.com > > -- >From Batam With Cuan
