Current ARIN policy contemplated as much as a /12 per provider and set a cap there allowing a provider that needed more than that to only get additional /12s rather than nibble boundary round-ups.
Owen > On Dec 20, 2017, at 15:07 , Christopher Morrow <morrowc.li...@gmail.com> > wrote: > > On Wed, Dec 20, 2017 at 2:16 PM, Lee Howard <l...@asgard.org> wrote: > >> >> I’ve tried several times to come up with a scenario that leads to >> depletion in less than 200 years, and I haven’t managed it. Can you do it? >> > > during some ARIN discussions that revolved around Transition Technologies > and allocations to large ISPs, there were more than a few folk batting > around the idea that they may need to allocate a /24 or a /20 even to a > single provider. > > I believe DT has a /19 assigned to them currently? how many /19's are there > in the v6 space? (524288-ish) > That's only ~100x the current number of active ASN in the field. It's > unclear (to me) how many of those could/would justify a /19 equivalent, and > how fast the ASN field is growing over time. > > 200 years seems optomistic, 20 years seems easy to imagine surpassing > though. What's the sweet spot?