On 2/2/11 10:29 AM, Geoff Huston wrote:
Are there any expectations of a Gold Rush for the remaining addresses? I would
expect to see at least see some kind of escalation.
This question probably calls for another picture.
Here is a plot of 2009 and 2010 in terms of the average number of IPv4
addresses allocated on a daily basis, across all 5 RIRs. I've used a smoothing
function across the allocation data in order to clearly show the trend pattern
over the two year period.
http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/daily-allocs.jpg
Geoff
We published a similar graph on RIPE Labs last friday. It shows the 6
months rolling average allocation rate for each RIR (in units of /8s
per month). APNIC's allocation rate has been on a steady rise since
2008. After coming down in 2009/2010, the average rates in ARIN and RIPE
have gone up again recently. Could be the first signs of a gold rush, or
just a coincidence.
https://labs.ripe.net/Members/wilhelm/images/IPv4RatesPerRIR.png
-- Rene