On 2010.03.04 20:55, Owen DeLong wrote:
> Folks, I know that IPv4 is down to bread crumbs.
> 
> That's why I'm ready for IPv6 and hopefully the rest of you are or will be 
> soon.
> 
> However, let's consider how much address space is saved by going from /30 to 
> /31
> on every point-to-point link in the internet...
> 
> Let's assume that there are ~1 million routers on the internet with an 
> average of 8
> point to point interfaces. (I think there are probably more like 1/4 million 
> and the
> average is probably more like 2, but, absent real numbers, I'll be 
> uber-conservative).
> 
> 8 million /30s is 32 million IPs, or, 2 /8s world-wide.
> 8 million /31s is 16 million IPs, or, 1 /8 world-wide.
> 
> We burn roughly 14 /8s per year in new allocations and assignments.
> 
> So, assuming:
>       1.      There are actually 8 million point to point links in the 
> internet
>       2.      All of them are currently /30s
>       3.      Absolutely optimum use of addresses for all those links
>       4.      All of them are converted to /31s
> 
> (none of these assumptions is likely in fact)
> 
> The most we could achieve would be to extend IPv4 freepool lifespan
> by roughly 26 days. Given the amount of effort sqeezing useful
> addresses out of such a conversion would require, I proffer that
> such effort is better spent moving towards IPv6 dual stack on your
> networks.

Owen, thanks for this picturesque description. Whoever recommended the
FAQ, add this equation into it.

I *wholeheartedly* agree with Owen's assessment. Even spending time
trying to calculate a rebuttal to his numbers is better spent moving
toward dual-stack ;)

Nice.

Steve

ps. and I'm just tiny. I just enjoy seeing reports of the big boys
moving forward, and watching my v6 routing table grow...

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