*   Possibly the main reason this hasn't happened yet is that politicians 
don't understand what internet resources are, or how they're allocated, or what 
could be achieved by forcibly changing allocations.
Nope, you underestimate politicians, they have consultants that are very smart.
Isolation is a tool of weakness. Some could not win, hence he isolates himself 
from the danger.
West/NATO still leading the war on the Internet. Then isolation does not make 
sense. The Internet is a good channel for influence. Hundreds of millions are 
spent on spreading FUD, and a different sort of propaganda.
The Internet has been a battlefield for a long time. I have seen it as it was 
started and progressed over 20 years. Russia was feeble initially, not capable 
at all (they could say “it was started not by us”). Russia is still weaker, 
thousands of blocked sites is a sign of weakness.
I do not believe that Russia would ever be as professional as the West in 
brainwashing (Russia has strengths in different fields). Hence, the West would 
never start isolation on a wide scope.
Some particular ASes would be probably blocked sooner or later. Despite it 
would be a confession of some weaknesses.
West public opinion is the only thing that refrains politicians from starting 
blocking some ASes. IMHO: it would happen because there would be not enough 
progress on the other battlefields. Politicians would become a little desperate.

IMHO: the war would be driven to the Internet, like you or not. Fighting in all 
arenas/spaces was advice from all the biggest war theoretics (Clausewitz, Sun 
Tzu, etc).
Ed/
From: NANOG <nanog-bounces+vasilenko.eduard=huawei....@nanog.org> On Behalf Of 
Alex
Sent: Friday, November 15, 2024 21:00
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Implementing Decentralized RPKI with Blockchain Technology


One country whose internet resources are nominally controlled by a RIR that's 
located in an enemy jurisdiction is Russia.
The Netherlands could not physically invade Russia to disconnect its servers or 
routers, but it could easily require the invalidation of Russian internet 
resources since RIPE NCC falls under its jurisdiction.
This would, as has already been stated, shatter the illusion of the Internet 
being a cohesive whole -- some people would be unable to access Russian 
internet sites, while other people would be unable to access European internet 
sites to which the formerly Russian resources were reallocated.

Possibly the main reason this hasn't happened yet is that politicians don't 
understand what internet resources are, or how they're allocated, or what could 
be achieved by forcibly changing allocations.


On 15/11/24 18:11, Tom Beecher wrote:
We're talking about what an RIR can do if ordered by a court with
jurisdiction. Remember: a court ordered AFRINIC to do some pretty
remarkable things in the not too distant past.

Sure, but my point is still the same. If at any point, we cannot trust that an 
RIR is the authoritative record holder of IP allocations , be it 
malfeasance/negligence, or a legal/government entity forcing them to take an 
action outside of established policy, then RPKI is severely crippled, if not 
useless.

However, I think it's an overblown concern. If a government entity has the 
courts in their pocket to force an RIR to do a thing, they have the power to do 
abou 10 other much easier things that would actually prevent full access to the 
thing they don't like. ( I'm taking your servers, I'm forcing you to unplug 
routers, etc)

Doesn't really make sense for them to force the RIR to do a think that would 
only disrupt access, not prevent it entirely.




On Thu, Nov 14, 2024 at 8:24 PM William Herrin 
<b...@herrin.us<mailto:b...@herrin.us>> wrote:
On Thu, Nov 14, 2024 at 2:44 PM Tom Beecher 
<beec...@beecher.cc<mailto:beec...@beecher.cc>> wrote:
> Yes, you're correct on that point.
>
> Fundamentally though, if an RIR actually did that, it's effectively the end 
> of RPKI, and seismic damage to the internet at large.

We're talking about what an RIR can do if ordered by a court with
jurisdiction. Remember: a court ordered AFRINIC to do some pretty
remarkable things in the not too distant past.

Regards,
Bill Herrin


--
William Herrin
b...@herrin.us<mailto:b...@herrin.us>
https://bill.herrin.us/

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